基于文献计量分析的水、能源和粮食纽带关系研究进展
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国家自然科学基金项目(52025093,52061125101);国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3200204)


Research progress and development enlightenment of the relationship between water, energy and food
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National Natural Science Foundation of China(52025093;52061125101);National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFC3200204)

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    摘要:

    水、能源和粮食(WEF)是满足人类基本需求和社会经济发展的重要资源,自2008年至今,WEF相关研究引起国内外广泛关注,论文数量增加近百倍,已成为当前研究热点。但考虑目前只处于初步研究阶段,亟待系统梳理已有研究以期指导未来发展,基于此采用定量及定性结合的方法梳理国内外WEF纽带关系的研究进展,通过解析国内外研究尺度、方法及对象的异同之处,力求研判我国WEF未来领域研究方向。结果表明:(1)2008-2022年WEF纽带研究大致可分为概念探索、初步开发和蓬勃发展三个阶段。(2)根据定量Citaspace方法发现,研究热点方面国际上侧重基于量化评估方法开展资源间的流动研究,国内则聚焦于影响因素分析以支撑政策制定;研究前沿方面国际研究逐步实现了从宏观管理到微观应用再到更深入的多要素化研究转变,相较而言国内研究较为滞后。(3)根据定性归纳总结发现,研究尺度方面共包括全球、国家、流域、区域、城市、家庭六种尺度,国际聚焦于人口密集的城市尺度,而国内聚焦于WEF矛盾突出地区尺度,例如黄河流域、京津冀地区。研究方法方面国际聚焦于量化评估及模拟优化,而国内聚焦于量化评估和指标评价。研究对象方面国内外均聚焦于WEF内部研究。未来我国需在WEF纽带机理认识、研究尺度扩展、集成模型开发、外部要素耦合方面加强关注。

    Abstract:

    Water, energy and food (WEF) are important resources for meeting basic human needs and socio-economic development. Over the past 15 years, WEF-related research has attracted widespread attention at domestic and foreign countries, and the number of publications has increased by nearly 100 times, which has become a hotspot of current research. The quantitative method is based on CiteSpace software, and Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infrastructure are used to construct a knowledge library. By analyzing the similarities and differences in research scales, methods, and targets at domestic and foreign countries, we aim to investigate the future research direction of WEF in China. The results show that: (1) The number of literature related to WEF nexus research has been increasing from 2008 to 2022, and the related research is broadly categorized into three phases, which are the conceptual exploration period (2008-2014), the initial development period (2015-2017), and the booming development period (2018-2022). The number of publications as a whole shows that the cumulative number of international publications is 8.5 times higher than that of domestic ones. (2) According to the quantitative Citaspace methodology, it was found that the research hotspots internationally focused on research on mobility between resources based on quantitative assessment methods, while domestically it focused on the analysis of influencing factors to support policy formulation. The research frontier internationally consists of 3 main stages, the first stage (2010-2013) focuses on macro management, the second stage (2014-2015) moves towards micro, region-specific location development trends, and the third stage (2016-2022) is more detailed, in-depth and diversified research. The domestic research frontier is lagging behind but is also divided into 3 phases, focusing on spatial analysis, bibliometric analysis and analysis of the impact of external factors, respectively. (3) According to the qualitative summary, the international research scale focuses on the densely populated urban areas, while the domestic research focuses on the areas with prominent WEF conflicts, such as the Yellow River Basin and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. In terms of research methodology, international research focuses on quantitative assessment and simulation optimization, while domestic research focuses on quantitative assessment and indicator evaluation. In terms of research targets, both domestic and international researchers focus on WEF internal research. In the future, China needs to pay more attention to the understanding of WEF bonding mechanism, the expansion of research scale, the development of integrated model, and the coupling of external elements, and this study can provide a reference for expanding the research direction of WEF bonding relationship in China.

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李溦,赵勇,姜珊,王浩,齐恬鑫,凌敏华,朱永楠,李海红,何凡,何国华.基于文献计量分析的水、能源和粮食纽带关系研究进展.生态学报,2024,44(17):7909~7922

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