新疆风力发电减碳效益全生命周期评估
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新疆维吾尔自治区科学技术厅重点研发项目(2021B03002-1)


Whole lifecycle assessment of carbon reduction benefits of wind power in Xinjiang
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    摘要:

    风力发电减碳效益评估有助于从减碳角度更好制定能源发展相关政策。以风力资源总体丰富且亟需发展风力发电以实现能源系统脱碳的新疆为研究区,将生命周期方法与风力发电模型结合,在省、市级尺度分别评估了风力发电全生命周期的排放水平及发电效益,核算了风力发电相对于火力发电和光伏发电的减碳效益,有效弥补了传统生命周期评估中空间差异考虑不充分的问题。结果表明,风机全生命周期平均发电量为13.1×107 kWh,风力发电全生命周期共排放3944.24 tCO2-eq,通过材料处置回收和循环再利用可减少1424.79 tCO2-eq。新疆发展风力发电具有低排放强度和高减碳效益的特点,与火电相比可减少97.44%排放,减碳效益平均可达906.72 gCO2-eq/kWh,并且应优先布局在哈密、巴音郭楞蒙古自治州和北屯市;与光伏相比,减碳效益可分别达到43.85 gCO2-eq/kWh(衰减率DR=1%)和169.84 gCO2-eq/kWh(DR=3%),此情景下风电应主要部署在克孜勒苏柯尔克孜自治州、喀什和和田。在风电减碳效益较差地区如石河子市、铁门关市和双河市应考虑利用本地充足太阳能资源发展光伏发电。需注意风电的排放强度和减碳效益在局地小尺度评估中存在不确定性,获取更精细的结果仍需进一步评估。未来应大力发展新疆本地的风电产业,打造绿色供应链和加快发展处置回收技术以增加减碳效益。

    Abstract:

    Assessment of carbon reduction benefits of wind power contributes to better policy-making of energy development from a decarbonization perspective. In this study, we employed a combination of the life cycle assessment and wind power generation model to evaluate the carbon emission and power generation at the provincial and municipal levels of the whole life cycle of wind power in Xinjiang, a region abundant in wind resources and in need of wind power development for achieving decarbonization of the energy system. We also quantified the carbon reduction benefits offered by wind power when compared to thermal power and photovoltaic power. This approach effectively addressed the insufficient consideration of spatial differences in traditional life cycle assessments. The results showed that the average electricity generation of wind power in different cities of Xinjiang was 13.1×107 kWh. The total carbon emission over the life cycle of wind power amounted to 3944.24 tCO2-eq, of which 1424.79 tCO2-eq could be reduced through material disposal and recycling. In terms of carbon reduction benefits, wind power in Xinjiang achieved an average reduction of 906.72 gCO2-eq/kWh compared to thermal power, accounting for 97.44% of the total emissions of thermal power. The priority areas for wind power development include Hami, Bayingolin, and Beitun. Compared to photovoltaic power, the carbon reduction benefits can be as high as 43.85 gCO2-eq/kWh (Degradation rate(DR)=1%) and 169.84 gCO2-eq/kWh (DR=3%), respectively. In this scenario, wind power should be primarily deployed in the Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture, Kashgar, and Hotan. It should be noted that there is uncertainty in assessing the emission intensity and carbon reduction benefit of wind power at a small local scale. Further evaluation is needed to obtain more refined results. In the future, there should be a strong emphasis on the development of the local wind power industry in Xinjiang, creating a green supply chain and accelerating the development of disposal and recycling technologies to enhance carbon reduction benefits.

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杜文杰,关梦茜,江源,曹鹏鹤,王泽,康慕谊.新疆风力发电减碳效益全生命周期评估.生态学报,2024,44(8):3293~3302

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