不同气候情景下三种槐树在中国的潜在分布
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家自然科学青年基金项目(32201312);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(SWU-KQ22009)


Predicting potential distributions of three locust trees in China under different climate scenarios
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    豆科槐树植物在防风固沙,改良土壤和防止水土流失方面发挥着重要作用,是重要的生态树种。全球气候变化正深刻影响植物的生长状态和地理分布,预测槐树植物的潜在适宜生境有助于深入了解气候变化对槐树植物地理分布格局的影响,对制定保护槐树类植物的科学保护策略至关重要。采用优化MaxEnt模型预测刺槐、短绒槐和槐在当前和未来2070年四种气候情景下(SSP1_2.6,SSP2_4.5,SSP3_7.0和SSP5_8.5)在中国的潜在适宜分布,确定影响三种槐树地理分布的主导环境因子,并使用ArcGIS绘制三种槐树的高精度空间分布图。结果表明:(1)温度和降水是影响三种槐树地理分布的主要因素,其中短绒槐和槐对最干季度均温响应最敏感,而等温性是影响刺槐潜在分布的最重要因子;(2)在当前气候条件下,槐的潜在分布区面积最为广阔共346.49万km2,刺槐的潜在分布区面积次之,为252.4万km2,而短绒槐的潜在分布区面积最为狭小共77.71万km2;(3)在未来不同气候情景下,三种槐树的潜在分布区都有不同程度的扩张,并且主要向更高纬度地区扩张。与当前气候相比,刺槐在未来气候下的潜在分布区主要呈现向东北、华北地区扩张的趋势,短绒槐主要向华北地区、西南地区西部、东北地区北部扩张,槐主要向东北、华北、西北地区扩张。绘制了在当前和未来气候情景下三种槐树在中国的潜在适宜分布地图,揭示了三种植物在中国的生境差异,为槐树的种质资源管理和生境保护提供了重要的科学依据。

    Abstract:

    The Fabaceae locust plants are significant ecological tree species which play a crucial role in windbreaks, sand fixation, soil improvement, and prevention of soil erosion. Global climate change has been profoundly affecting the growth status and geographical distribution of plants, and predicting the potential suitable habitat of locust plants is helpful to understand the impact of climate change on the geographical distribution pattern of locust plants, and is very important for formulating scientific conservation strategies for locust plants. In order to identify the dominant environmental factors affecting the geographical distribution of three locust trees, and to map the spatial distribution of three locust trees with high precision using ArcGIS, the optimized MaxEnt model was used to predict the effects of Robinia pseudoacacia, Sophora velutina, and Styphnolobium japonicum under current and future climate scenarios (SSP1_2.6; SSP2_4.5, SSP3_7.0, SSP5_8.5) for the 2070s in China. The results indicated that: (1) temperature and precipitation were the dominant factors influencing the geographical distribution of the three locusts, with S. velutina and S. japonicum being the most sensitive to the mean temperature of driest quarter, while isothermality being the most important variable in determining the potential distribution of R. pseudoacacia. (2) Under current climate conditions, S. japonicum had the widest range of potential suitable areas, with a total area of 346.49 ×104 km2, R. pseudoacacia had the second largest potential distribution area of 252.4 ×104 km2, while S. velutina had the narrowest range of potential suitable areas, with a total area of 77.71 ×104 km2; (3) Under different future climate scenarios, the potential suitable zones of all three species exhibited different degrees of expansion, and mainly toward higher latitudes. In comparison to the current climate, the potential distribution area of R. pseudoacacia in future climate scenarios exhibited a trend of expansion to northeast China and North China. The S. velutina also showed an expansion trend to North China, west Southwest China and a north part of Northeast China. Furthermore, the S. japonicum expanded to Northeast China, North China and Northwest China. This study was the first to map the potential suitable distribution of three locusts in China under current and future climate scenarios, revealing the habitat differences in China, which is of great significance for the germplasm management and habitat protection of locust plants.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

韩顺鑫,余婷,金正,邓锐,阳蕊灿,陶建平,罗唯学.不同气候情景下三种槐树在中国的潜在分布.生态学报,2025,45(4):1775~1787

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数: