洞庭湖流域城镇化对生态系统服务的影响及空间效应分析
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国家自然科学基金项目(42401381, U24A20579)


Spatial effects and impacts of urbanization on ecosystem services in the Dongting Lake Basin
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    摘要:

    快速城镇化的负面影响已经成为威胁区域生态安全和损害人类福祉的重要因素。正确理解城镇化对生态系统服务的影响有助于为生态治理决策提供更全面的信息支撑。以洞庭湖流域为研究区,选取4种生态系统服务和4种城镇化指标,分析了其在1990-2019年的时空格局演变特征,并采用双变量空间自相关、地理加权回归和空间计量模型探索了城镇化对生态系统服务影响的空间效应。结果显示:(1)研究期内产水量、土壤保持量和氮输出量分别增加19.54%、3.96%和0.78%,生境质量指数持续减少了0.016,城镇化水平呈持续增长趋势;(2)城镇化与生态系统服务之间存在显著的空间相关关系,局部空间聚类特征突出;(3)城镇化对生态系统服务的影响表现出明显的空间异质性,驱动方向和强度均随时间变化而改变,并且影响效力逐渐降低;(4)城镇化对生态系统服务的影响表现出显著的空间溢出效应,且不同指标间表现出明显的个体差异和时序变化特征。研究结果可为促进城镇人居环境改善,制定兼顾经济发展和生态和谐的城市规划提供参考。

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    The negative impacts of rapid urbanization have become key factors in threatening regional ecological security and undermining human well-being. The rapid expansion of construction land and high population concentration accompanying urbanization can drastically alter the structure and function of ecosystems in a short timeframe, thereby affecting the supply of ecosystem services and severely damaging ecosystem stability. However, the impact of urbanization on ecosystem services remains uncertain and is characterized by non-linear relationships, yielding effects that may range from highly significant to negligible. Therefore, a clear understanding of how urbanization affects ecosystem services (ESs) can provide more comprehensive information to support ecological governance decisions. In this study, the spatial and temporal distributions of four ESs, namely water yield (WY), soil conservation (SC), nitrogen export (NE), and habitat quality (HQ), and four factors of urbanization, namely construction land percentage, economic density, population density, and nighttime lighting, were analyzed in the Dongting Lake Basin from 1990 to 2019. Moreover, this study explored the spatial effects of urbanization on ecosystem services using bivariate spatial autocorrelation, geographically weighted regression, and spatial econometric models. The results showed that: (1) Water yield, soil conservation, and nitrogen export increased by 19.54%, 3.96%, and 0.78%, respectively, while habitat quality decreased by 0.016. The urbanization indicators showed continuous growth, and the spatial patterns of changes in various urbanization indicators were highly similar. (2) Significant spatial correlations were observed between urbanization and ecosystem services, with distinct local clustering characteristics. (3) The impact of urbanization on ecosystem services exhibited pronounced spatial heterogeneity and nonlinear driving characteristics. The direction and magnitude of these impacts changed over time, with their overall effects gradually diminishing. Urbanization showed a positive impact on WY and a significant negative impact on HQ. For SC and NE, the construction land percentage (CLP) showed a significant positive effect, while the effects of the nighttime light data (NLD) shifted from predominantly negative to positive. Meanwhile, the negative effects of economic and population densities expanded significantly in terms of their spatial extent. (4) Urbanization effects displayed clear spatial spillover, impacting and receiving feedback from surrounding areas. Moreover, the driving efficacy of different urbanization indicators showed considerable individual variation and temporal dynamics. The intensity of both the direct and indirect effects of urbanization showed a weakening trend. This study provided comprehensive insights into the spatial effects of urbanization on ESs, and these findings offer a reference for urban planning decisions and for promoting habitat improvements that balance economic development with ecological protection.

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李俊翰,谢炳庚.洞庭湖流域城镇化对生态系统服务的影响及空间效应分析.生态学报,2026,46(18):9683~9696

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