云贵高原生态恢复空间分异及其影响因素
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国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD096)


Spatial differentiation and influencing factors of ecological restoration in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau
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    摘要:

    全面深入评估生态恢复效益并明晰其自然-社会经济驱动机制,对维护区域生态安全、实现可持续发展目标具有重要意义。然而,在区域尺度量化分析时间序列生态恢复程度及其影响因素的案例研究较少。以云贵高原为研究对象,基于多源遥感数据,运用模型模拟、时间序列趋势分析等方法,从生态系统宏观结构、质量和服务3个层次评估了2000-2019年云贵高原地区的生态恢复效益,使用随机森林方法探究了生态恢复的自然-社会经济影响因素。结果表明:(1)近20年云贵高原地区生态系统宏观结构变化明显,主要表现为森林、草地和聚落生态系统面积的增加,以及农田生态系统面积的减少;(2)生态系统质量和服务恢复态势总体稳定向好,部分区域转差;(3)云贵高原地区生态系统的恢复程度整体较高。其中,恢复程度中等及以上的地区占总面积的35.84%;生态恢复程度有所转差及以下的面积最少,占总面积的7.54%;(4)地形、气候和土壤等生态本底特征是云贵高原地区生态恢复最重要的影响因素;在局地尺度,造林面积、人口密度年变化率等人类活动因子对生态恢复具有关键的作用。未来生态系统管理和生态恢复工程的实施应综合考虑区域生态背景和尺度效应,因地制宜采取恢复措施,以实现生态与社会经济发展的共赢。

    Abstract:

    The Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, located in the ecologically fragile Southwest Karst region, faces urgent ecological and environmental challenges. Its unique topography and landforms have contributed to severe soil erosion, resulting in a highly vulnerable ecosystem and exacerbating the issue of rocky desertification. Furthermore, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau plays a critical role as a significant ecological barrier in the southwestern part of China, highlighting its pivotal contribution to the nationwide endeavor to establish a resilient national ecological civilization. It is important to understand the status of ecological environment and ecological restoration benefits in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau in the past 20 years. Comprehensively evaluating the ecological restoration benefits and clarifying the natural-socioeconomic driving mechanisms is of great significance in maintaining regional ecological security and achieving sustainable development goals. Nevertheless, there are few case studies on the quantitative analysis of the restoration degree and its influencing factors over a time series at the regional scale. Thus, this study aims to evaluate the ecological restoration benefits of the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau region from 2000 to 2019 based on multi-source remote sensing data and methods including model simulation and time-series trend analysis. We assessed the ecological restoration benefits on three levels, which are ecosystem macrostructure, ecosystem quality, and ecosystem services. The random forest method was used to explore the natural-socioeconomic influencing factors of ecological restoration. The results showed that: (1) The ecosystems macrostructure changed significantly, as manifested in the increase of forest, grassland and settlement area, as well as in the decrease of farmland area. (2) The restoration tendencies of ecosystem quality and ecosystem services were overall stable and improving, except for some areas that were getting worse. (3) Overall, ecosystem restoration degrees were high. Areas with moderate and above recovery levels accounted for 35.84% of the total area, while areas with worsening and below recovery levels were the least, accounting for 7.54% of the total area. (4) Ecological background characteristics such as topography, climate, and soil properties were the most important factors for ecological restoration. Meanwhile, at the local level, human activities such as afforestation area and population density change rate played a crucial role in ecological restoration. Therefore, regional ecological background and scale effects should be comprehensively considered in ecosystem management and ecological restoration projects. Adopting targeted restoration measures is crucial to achieve win-win situations for ecological and socio-economic development. The research findings can serve as a valuable scientific foundation for the preservation and management of the ecosystem in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau.

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张廷靖,邵全琴,刘树超,张雄一,宁佳,刘国波,牛丽楠,陈美祺,黄海波.云贵高原生态恢复空间分异及其影响因素.生态学报,2024,44(4):1374~1388

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