鄱阳湖水陆交错带生态韧性时空变化及影响因素
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国家自然科学基金(41961043,42001189);江西省社会科学"十四五"基金项目(22YJ12)


Spatio-temporal variations and influencing factors of ecological resilience in the Aquatic-Terrestrial Ecotone of Poyang Lake
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    摘要:

    鄱阳湖水陆交错带是一典型水陆相复杂生态系统,其人地关系矛盾和冲突强烈改变了区域生态韧性格局。基于适应性循环理论框架"潜力-连通度-恢复力"三维综合评价体系,以乡镇为研究单元,对鄱阳湖水陆交错带2000年、2010年、2020年的生态韧性进行评估;并运用地理探测器分析各因素在不同时期对生态韧性的影响强度及其相互作用机制,从而为地区生态韧性提升策略的制定提供指导。结果表明:(1)2000-2020年鄱阳湖水陆交错带综合韧性指数先增后减,整体呈上升趋势,韧性低值区经历了"小集聚大分散→大集聚小分散→整体分散"的空间演化特征;(2)鄱阳湖水陆交错带大部分乡镇经历了"释放→重组→开发"的演化交替,其中2020年各乡镇韧性演化处于开发(r)、保护(K)、释放(Ω)、重组(α)阶段的乡镇数量分别占49.4%、28.3%、8.2%、14.1%;(3)2000-2020年内的不同时期,鄱阳湖水陆交错带生态韧性驱动因子的影响强度存在差异,其中植被覆盖、夜间灯光强度、建设用地距离以及夜间灯光强度变化趋势成为研究区韧性变化的主导驱动力,且影响强度出现较为明显的逐年增强趋势。本研究可以在一定程度上剖析研究区域的韧性发展现状和趋势,推动形成具有地域特色且可持续的人地耦合系统。

    Abstract:

    The Aquatic-Terrestrial Ecotone of Poyang Lake is a typical water-land complex ecosystem, and its contradictory and conflicting human-land relationship has significantly changed the regional ecological resilience pattern. Based on the three-dimensional comprehensive evaluation system of Potential-Connectivity-Resilience" in the framework of adaptive cycle theory, we aim to assess the ecological resilience of the Aquatic-Terrestrial Ecotone of Poyang Lake in 2000, 2010, and 2020. Taking townships as the research unit, we analyzed the influence strength of each factor on ecological resilience in different periods and its interaction mechanism by using geographic probe, so as to provide guidance for the formulation of regional ecological resilience improvement strategy. The results show that:(1) the comprehensive resilience index of the Aquatic-Terrestrial Ecotone of Poyang Lake has increased and then decreased in 2000-2020, with an overall increasing trend. The low value area of resilience has experienced the spatial evolution characteristics of small agglomeration and large dispersion→large agglomeration and small dispersion→overall dispersion. The coverage of the medium-high resilience zone is always larger, and the regional integrated resilience is closely related to the ecological background of the system, with significantly spatial differentiation characteristics. (2) Most townships in the Aquatic-Terrestrial Ecotone of Poyang Lake have experienced the evolutionary cycle of release→reorganization→development, in which the number of townships whose resilience evolution was in development (r), protection (K), release (Ω) and reorganization (α) stages in 2020 accounted for 49.4%, 28.3%, 8.2%, and 14.1%, respectively. However, there were still some townships that fell into the pathological trap (failed restructuring) during the study period, and how to break the existing situation to achieve new regional growth is now a key issue for the sustainable development of most township ecosystems. (3) The influence intensity of ecological resilience factors in the Aquatic-Terrestrial Ecotone of Poyang Lake in 2000-2020 was different, among which vegetation cover, night light intensity, construction land distance and night light intensity change trend became the dominant driving forces of resilience change in the study area. The interaction between the factors is mainly nonlinearly enhanced and the influence intensity shows a more obviously increasing trend year by year. The future should be based on the resilience support capacity of the natural ecological background of the regional ecosystem, and promote the benign interaction between human activities and the ecosystem through ecosystem function enhancement and spatial structure optimization. To a certain extent, this research can analyze the current situation and trends of resilience development in the study area, and promote the formation of a sustainable human-land coupling system with regional characteristics.

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王文慧,钟业喜,马宏智,欧明辉,冯兴华,吴尚光.鄱阳湖水陆交错带生态韧性时空变化及影响因素.生态学报,2023,43(22):9514~9526

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