2000-2021年青藏高原生长季植被敏感性的时空变异
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海南大学科研启动基金项目(KYQD(ZR)-22084);海南省重点研发计划项目(ZDYF2022SHFZ042);第二次青藏高原综合科学考察项目(2019QZKK0405);海南省自然科学基金资助(623RC447)


Spatio-temporal variability of vegetation sensitivity on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau during the growing season from 2000 to 2021
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    摘要:

    为揭示青藏高原陆地生态系统对气候变化敏感性的时空变异性,基于植被敏感性指数(Vegetation Sensitivity Index, VSI),使用2000-2021年青藏高原6-8月生长季MODIS EVI和ERA5再分析资料的温度、降水和太阳辐射数据,首先探究了22年里青藏高原陆地生态系统敏感性的空间变异性及其主要气候驱动因素,其次探究了青藏高原VSI在P1(2000-2006年)、P2(2007-2013年)和P3(2014-2021年)时期内VSI的时间变异性,研究表明:(1)2000-2021年青藏高原生长季VSI的空间异质性较强,其中东南部灌木和森林的VSI较高,而西北部高山荒漠、高山草原和高山草甸的VSI较低;(2)22年里温度、降水和太阳辐射分别主导着青藏高原55.89%、19.24%和24.87%地区的VSI变化,其中温度主导着东南部灌木和森林的VSI,降水主导着东北大部分地区高山草甸的VSI,而太阳辐射主导着西南大部分地区高山草原的VSI。时间变异性结果表明:(3)P1-P3时期内青藏高原18.39%像元内的VSI持续增加而10.09%像元内的VSI持续减少。高山荒漠、高山草原和高山草甸的VSI在P1-P2时期基本不变而在P2-P3时期呈现上升态势,与之相比,灌木和森林的VSI呈先增长后下降的态势;(4)3个时期内主导青藏高原VSI变化的气候变量具有较强的时空异质性,其中温度为主导因子的像元数量在P1-P2时期基本一致而在P3时期明显减少,其占比分别为P1 (58.15%), P2 (61.34%)和P3 (49.47%),降水为主导因子的像元数量在P1 (18.57%)和P2 (18.47%)时期内基本不变但在P3 (26.64%)时期内明显增加,与温度和降水相比,以辐射为主导因子的像元数在3个时期内基本不变。总体而言,青藏高原高山草原和高山草甸生态系统对气候变化的响应呈增加态势,在青藏高原气候多变的背景下,草地生态系统可能存在退化的风险。研究旨在为全球气候变化背景下青藏高原生态系统敏感性的动态评估提供参考。

    Abstract:

    To reveal the spatiotemporal variability of terrestrial ecosystem sensitivity on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the spatial distribution of the ecosystem sensitivity and the climate factors to dominate vegetation growth on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2021 were explored. To this end, Vegetation Sensitivity Index (VSI) was applied to the MODIS EVI and ERA5 reanalysis data including temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation. The timeframe of this study was restricted to the growing season with months from June to August. Moreover, the temporal variability of VSI was investigated for the period of P1(2000-2006), P2(2007-2013), and P3(2014-2021), respectively. Results indicate that:(1) the spatial heterogeneity of VSI in growing season was strong on the QTP from 2000 to 2021. High VSI values were observed in shrubs and forests located in the southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. By contrast, low VSI values were found in alpine deserts, alpine grasslands, and alpine meadows grown in the northwestern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. (2) During the whole investigation period, temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation dominated the VSI variation in 55.89%, 19.24%, and 24.87% of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, respectively. Specifically, temperature dominated the VSI of shrubs and forests in the southeast Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and precipitation controlled the VSI in most alpine meadows of the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Solar radiation regulated the VSI in most of alpine grasslands distributed in the southwestern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Temporal variability results show that:(3) During the periods of P1, P2, and P3, the VSI increased and decreased continuously in 18.39% and 10.09% pixels, respectively. The VSI of alpine desert, alpine grassland, and alpine meadow remained unchange during the P1-P2 period while showed an increasing trend during the P2-P3 period. By contrast, the VSI of shrubs and forests displayed an increasing (P1-P2) and then a decreasing (P2-P3) trend. (4) A strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the VSI on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau was observed in the three periods. The proportion of pixels where temperature dominated the vegetation growth in the three periods had a slight change during P1-P2 but was reduced in P3, corresponding proportion values were P1(58.15%), P2(61.34%), and P3(49.47%), respectively. Conversely, the proportion of pixels that precipitation played a dominate role increased from 18.57% (P1) and 18.47% (P2) to 26.64% (P3). For solar radiation, the associated proportion values had a small fluctuation during the three periods. Overall, the responses of alpine grassland and alpine meadow ecosystems to climate change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau were increasing. The risk of grassland degradation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau might exacerbate due to the climate change with a large variability on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. This study aims to provide a reference for the dynamic assessment of ecosystem sensitivity on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in the context of global climate change.

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陈甲豪,吴凯,胡中民,杨涵.2000-2021年青藏高原生长季植被敏感性的时空变异.生态学报,2023,43(10):4054~4065

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