基于“水-能源-粮食”纽带的生态系统服务供需关系时空分布研究——以长三角生态绿色一体化发展示范区为例
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国家自然科学基金项目(42271307);教育部人文社会科学规划项目(22YJCZH252);上海浦江人才计划(22PJC090)


Spatial and temporal distribution of supply-demand of ecosystem services in the demonstration zone of green and integrated ecological development of the Yangtze River Delta from the perspective of water-energy-food nexus
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)、Shanghai Pujiang Program、The Ministry of education of Humanities and Social Science project

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    摘要:

    生态系统服务供需平衡是区域可持续发展的重要环节,也是有效反映区域社会经济与自然是否能够协调发展的重要表征。以长三角生态绿色一体化发展示范区为例,以"水-能源-粮食"纽带为切入点,基于InVEST模型、CASA模型和Thornthwaite Memoriai模型,测度了示范区2000、2005、2010、2015及2020年产水、固碳、粮食生产服务的供需量,引入基尼系数、供需指数和相关系数,刻画区域生态系统服务供给和需求的空间特征,结果表明:(1)2000-2020年,除粮食生产服务供给量波动下降以外,产水和固碳的供给量均呈波动上升趋势。在需求量方面,三种生态系统服务均呈上升趋势;(2)空间上,产水和粮食服务供给量主要呈"东南、西南高"的特征,固碳供给量高值则集中于吴江区桃源镇,各项生态系统服务需求高值区主要以人口密度较大乡镇为中心呈环状分布;(3)示范区内各生态系统服务空间上呈均衡分布状态,各类生态系统服务供需指数均呈下降趋势;(4)在供给方面,产水-粮食生产呈现显著的协同关系,产水-固碳、固碳-粮食生产的权衡/协同关系不显著;在需求方面,三种生态系统服务呈现出两两协同关系。本研究探索示范区生态系统服务供需关系的时空分布,有利于构建区域生态安全格局,可为长三角地区生态系统服务供需研究提供借鉴。

    Abstract:

    The balance of supply and demand of ecosystem services is an important part of regional sustainable development and an important indicator to measure whether regional socio-economic and natural development can be coordinated. Taking the demonstration zone of green and integrated ecological development of the Yangtze River Delta as an example, this paper used the InVEST, CASA and Thornthwaite Memoriai models to measure the regional supply and demand of water yield, carbon storage, and food production services in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020 from the perspective of the water-energy-food nexus. The Gini coefficient, supply and demand index and correlation coefficient were introduced to explore the spatial characteristics of regional ecosystem service supply and demand. The results revealed that (1) from 2000 to 2020, except for the supply of food production service, which fluctuated down, the supply of other ecosystem services showed a fluctuating upward trend. In terms of demand, all the ecosystem services showed an upward trend, with the largest increase in water and carbon storage demand is Yaozhuang Township, Jiashan County, while food demand, showed an overall upward trend during the study period,except for Liantang Township,Qingpu District. (2) In terms of spatial distribution, the southeast and southwest regions had high values in the supply of water yield and food production services, while the high value area of carbon storage was concentrated in Taoyuan Township, Wujiang District, and the high value area of demand for various ecosystem services was mainly distributed in a circular pattern around towns with high population density. (3)The Gini coefficient of each ecosystem service in the demonstration area was less than 0.3, the spatial distribution of ecosystem services in the region was in equilibrium, the supply and demand indices of all kinds of ecosystem services were decreasing, and the water yield service of Jiaxing had turned from an obvious surplus to a deficit state. In terms of spatial distribution, water yield service in Jiashan had been in surplus from 2000-2015, and the surplus area tended to spread. Three ecosystem services were in short supply in densely populated areas, and the difference between urban and rural supply and demand matching was very obvious.(4) On the supply side, water yield and food production showed a significantly synergistic relationship, and the trade-off/synergistic between water yield and carbon storage, as well as carbon storage and food production were insignificant. On the demand side, the three ecosystem services showed a two-by-two synergistic relationship. By exploring the spatial and temporal distribution of ecosystem services supply and demand in the demonstration area, this study is conducive to the construction of a regional ecological security pattern and can provide a reference for the realization of ecosystem service supply and demand in the Yangtze River Delta region.

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张中浩,张永瑶,胡熠娜,高峻.基于“水-能源-粮食”纽带的生态系统服务供需关系时空分布研究——以长三角生态绿色一体化发展示范区为例.生态学报,2023,43(22):9430~9445

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