上海市气候变化和人类活动对植被物候的影响
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国家重点研发计划-公众参与的自然保护地一体化监督平台研究(SQ2020YFF0426320);生态环境部科研项目-自然保护区监督管理支撑(2110199201502);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务专项-植被物候时空变化及其驱动因子研究(GYZX210507);生态环境部南京环境科学研究所退化森林恢复机制创新团队项目


Influences of climate change and human activities on vegetation phenology of Shanghai
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National Key Research and Development Program-Research on the Integrated Supervision Platform of Public Participation in Nature Reserves,Eco-Environment research project - supporting supervision and management of nature reserves,Project supported by the biodiversity investigation, Vegetation phenology dynamic and influence,This work was supported by the Innovative Team Project of Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, MEE

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    摘要:

    植被物候是气候和自然环境变化的综合指示器,同时也是研究植物生长发育与气候变化的重要参数。随着经济社会的发展夜间灯光兼具指示人类活动信息和光照强度的特点,成为研究城市生态系统和生态建设的热点。基于此,利用地理探测器分析方法和变量投影重要性指标,从时间和空间尺度上探究温度、降水、辐射和夜间灯光对2001-2020年上海市植被物候进行时空变化分析和归因分析,并结合城区和郊区的差异进一步分析夜间灯光和环境因子对物候的影响贡献。结果表明:2001-2020年上海市城区温度高于郊区约0.63℃,春季物候(start growth of season,SOS)提前郊区10d左右,秋季物候(end growth of season,EOS)推迟郊区7d左右,夜间灯光高于郊区2.9倍并且其重心向沿海方向显著偏移。空间尺度上夜间灯光对SOS的影响权重最大(q=0.15),并且辐射∩夜间灯光的组合驱动对城区和郊区的植被物候影响权重均最大(qmax=0.29)。时间尺度上SOS与温度的关系最密切,且随温度的增加而提前(平均R温度=-0.24),EOS与夜间灯光的关系最密切,且随夜间灯光的增加而延迟(R夜间灯光=0.28);综合物候驱动因子影响强度和植被物候多因子协调控制机制,城区SOS的主导影响因子为辐射(占总面积的41.40%),郊区SOS和城区/郊区EOS主导影响因子为夜间灯光。由此可知,植被物候对人类活动和气候变化的响应存在空间差异,这与植被物候驱动因子的时间和空间影响关系和强度相关。该研究可为人类活动对植被物候影响提供新思路,为城市应对未来气候变化和改善生态环境提供理论基础。

    Abstract:

    Vegetation phenology is a comprehensive indicator of climate and natural environment changes and is an important parameter of plant growth and climate change. With the development of the economy and society, nightlight has the characteristics of indicating human activity information and light intensity, making it a hot spot in studying urban ecosystems and ecological construction. Based on this, we used the geodetector method and variable importance in the projection index to explore the influence of temperature, precipitation, radiation, and nightlight on vegetation phenology on the temporal and spatial aspects from 2001-2020 in Shanghai. Furthermore, we analyzed the contribution of the nightlight and environmental factors to phenology by comparing the difference between urban and suburban areas. The results showed that the temperature in urban Shanghai was about 0.63℃ higher than that of the suburbs, the start growth of season (SOS) of urban was advanced 10 days more than the suburbs, the end growth of season (EOS) was delayed 7 days more than suburbs, and nightlight in urban was 2.9 times more than suburbs during 2001-2020. On the spatial scale, nightlight has the greatest impact on urban SOS (q=0.15), and the combined driving of nightlight and radiation also has the greatest impact on vegetation phenology (qmax=0.29) in both urban and suburbs of Shanghai than other interacting factors. On the temporal scale, the SOS has the closest relationship with temperature and advanced with the increasing temperature (Rtemperature=-0.24), while the EOS has the closest relationship with nightlight and was delayed with increasing nightlight (Rnightlight=0.28). By comprehensively comparing the influence strength of the phenological driving factors and multiple-factor control mechanism of vegetation phenology, the dominant influence factor of SOS was radiation (41.40% of total area) and the dominant influence factor of suburban SOS and urban/suburban EOS was nightlight. Thus, the various responses of vegetation phenology to human activities and climate change were closely related to the influence relationship and the temporal and spatial strength. This study could provide new ideas in exploring the influence of human activities on vegetation phenology, and provide a theoretical basis for cities to cope with climate change and improve the ecological environment.

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袁换欢,严家宝,张建亮,王智,徐网谷,张昊楠.上海市气候变化和人类活动对植被物候的影响.生态学报,2023,43(21):8803~8815

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