陆域生态系统人类活动压力指数构建及不确定性分析
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划专项(2023YFF1303703)


Construction and uncertainty analysis of human activity pressure index in terrestrial ecosystem
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    人类活动压力指数是用于描述人类活动对陆地表面特别是陆域生态系统影响的综合指标,开展人类活动对生态系统的压力状况定量评估有助于理解人类活动在生态系统变化中的作用,为针对性开展人类活动调控和制定生态系统保护相关政策提供依据。从压力强度和生态系统敏感性出发构建人类活动对陆域生态系统的压力指数,结果表明2020年我国人类活动压力指数主要分布在0-0.2之间,天津、上海、山东、江苏、河南等地人类活动压力指数较高,而西藏、青海、新疆等地较低;全国农业开发对人类活动压力指数的贡献度最高,为38.91%,其次为农村聚落,贡献度为21.83%;从不确定分析来看,人类活动压力指数在至少60%的模拟次数中属于低值区间的像元比例明显超过高值区间,模拟平均值与原人类活动压力指数相似度在高值区明显低于低值区。因此,人类活动压力指数在高值区稳健性较差,在高值区不确定性增大,而在低值区不确定性相对较低。压力源和生态系统敏感性构建的人类活动压力指数,该指数可以用于大尺度人类活动压力状况评估,可为压力热点区和生态敏感区的人类分析和识别提供数据和方法支撑。

    Abstract:

    The human activity pressure index is a comprehensive indicator used to describe the impact of human activities on the terrestrial surface, particularly on terrestrial ecosystems. Conducting quantitative assessments of the pressure exerted by human activities on ecosystems helps in understanding the role of human activities in ecosystem changes. It also provides a basis for targeted human activity regulation and the formulation of ecosystem protection policies. This study constructs a human activity pressure index for terrestrial ecosystems based on pressure intensity and ecosystem sensitivity, using national land use and other data to estimate the index. Additionally, the Monte Carlo simulation method is employed to analyze the uncertainty of the human activity pressure index. The results indicate that in the 2020, the human activity pressure index in China mainly ranged from 0 to 0.2, with higher values in regions such as Tianjin, Shanghai, Shandong, Jiangsu, and Henan, and lower values in Tibet, Qinghai, and Xinjiang. Agriculture was found to contribute the most to the pressure index nationwide, accounting for 38.91%, followed by rural settlements at 21.83%. Notably, in regions such as Yunnan, Guizhou, Chongqing, and Shaanxi, agricultural development's contribution to the human activity pressure index exceeded 60%. Urban development was the major contributor in metropolitan areas like Shanghai, Beijing, Jiangsu, and Tianjin, contributing over 20%. Industrial and mining development played a significant role in regions such as Fujian, Zhejiang, Inner Mongolia, and Guangdong, where their contribution to the pressure index also exceeded 20%. The uncertainty analysis revealed that the proportion of pixels with a human activity pressure index in the low-value range in at least 60% of simulation iterations significantly exceeded those in the high-value range. The similarity between the simulated average values and the original human activity pressure index was significantly lower in high-value areas compared to low-value areas, with a similarity of 0.53 in the 25% low-value range and 0.45 in the 25% high-value range. In seven subregions, the proportion of pixels with at least moderate similarity exceeded 30%, and in three subregions, it exceeded 60%. Therefore, the human activity pressure index is less robust and more uncertain in high-value areas, whereas it is relatively more certain in low-value areas. This study constructs the human activity pressure index by considering pressure sources and ecosystem sensitivity, primarily using remote sensing data as input. This allows for multi-temporal and large-scale assessments of human activity pressure and quantitative evaluations of temporal and spatial changes in human activity pressure. It provides data and methodological support for the analysis and identification of pressure hotspots and ecologically sensitive areas. The findings highlight the varying impacts of different types of land use and development across China's diverse regions, offering valuable insights for policymakers and conservationists.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

王永财,胡卓玮,万华伟,侯鹏.陆域生态系统人类活动压力指数构建及不确定性分析.生态学报,2025,45(1):406~419

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数: