Abstract:With global warming and the deepening inter-regional industrial linkage, the spatial reshaping of carbon emissions caused by industrial transformation and upgrading and industrial transfer has become one of the main areas of low-carbon research field. Using the carbon emission inventory method and the environmental effect decomposition model, this paper estimates the changes in industrial carbon emissions and their influencing factors in various province in China.The inter-provincial carbon emission transfer pattern in the context of industrial transfer is also analyzed to explore effective strategies for regional energy conservation, carbon emission reduction and balanced regional development. Studies have shown that from 2005 to 2019, China's industrial carbon emission pattern has been based on the Bohai Rim region as the single core, and the neighboring Shandong, Zhejiang and Inner Mongolia gradually increased. At the provincial level, the intensity of the environmental effect caused by industrial scope on industrial development is the greatest, and the role of industrial structure is relatively weak; the spatial transfer of industrial carbon emissions is mainly from the coastal region to the interior, and the provinces with the largest output of carbon emissions from energy-intensive industries are Shanxi, Shandong, Liaoning, and Shanghai, while the provinces with the largest inflow of carbon emissions from energy-intensive industries are Xinjiang, Anhui, and Shandong. The inflow and outflow of carbon emissions are not exactly equivalent to the position of each province's economic development level; economically developed provinces also present a transfer of industrial carbon emissions in a certain period of time due to energy demand or national strategic policies.This paper explored the role of provinces in the transfer of carbon emissions from domestic industry, and the efforts of carbon reduction in different provinces should match their positions in the supply chain. In recent years, the eastern region with high degree of industrialization, bearing the pressure of carbon emissions from other provinces, has been experiencing a large net outflow of carbon emissions from industries, which can moderately increase carbon sinks in the oceans and forests. For Anhui, Guizhou and other provinces with long-term net inflow of industrial carbon emissions, the transfer of energy-intensive industries should be planned in a reasonable and timely manner to avoid the administration after the contamination.For coal-rich provinces with carbon emissions outflow such as Nei Monggol and Shanxi, it is necessary to improve the access threshold for high-pollution industries and promote the timely transformation of high-carbon industries.The conclusion is helpful to provide decision-making basis for the formulation of inter regional horizontal joint carbon emission reduction policies under the global perspective.