粤港澳大湾区城市群生态保护优先区识别研究
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国家自然科学基金项目(51978274);广东省自然科学基金项目(2023A1515011451)


Identification of ecological conservation priority areas in urban agglomeration of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan);Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province

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    摘要:

    生态保护优先区识别对于城市群的整体性生态保护和区域生态安全具有重要意义。基于生态保护重要性评价识别城市群生态保护优先区,有助于保障生态系统服务的供给水平和维持生态系统的稳定性。以粤港澳大湾区(以下简称"大湾区")为研究对象,首先通过增加粮食供给等生态系统服务指标和土地利用强度等生态脆弱性指标构建新的生态保护重要性评价指标体系,以弥补原指标体系忽略部分生态系统服务价值或者关乎生态脆弱性的重要因素所导致的评价结果片面性问题;然后运用结合空间主成分分析法和有序加权平均算子(Ordered Weighted Averaged,OWA)的主客观结合赋权法进行生态保护重要性评价的多情景模拟,并基于保护效率和权衡度进行多情景择优,由此所得最优情景的生态保护优先区的整体生态保护价值相对最高,且一定程度上减小了指标间权衡问题可能导致的评价误差;最终大湾区生态保护优先区面积为26406.04 km2,占大湾区陆域国土总面积的47.69%,主要分布在大湾区中部以外的肇庆、惠州、香港、广州北部、江门外环以及深圳东部沿海,同时优先区识别结果基本覆盖现有生态保护红线和周边大部分一般生态空间。构建了一种新的城市群生态保护优先区识别方法,该方法可为城镇和城市群的生态环境可持续发展以及区域生态系统管理提供决策支持。

    Abstract:

    Urban agglomeration ecological conservation and regional ecological security depend on the identification of ecological conservation priority areas. The identification of ecological conservation priority areas in urban agglomerations based on ecological conservation importance evaluation aids in ensuring the supply level of ecosystem services as well as maintaining the stability of ecosystems from the external functional dimension and internal stability dimension of ecosystems, thereby upholding regional ecological security and preserving human welfare. On the basis of the evaluation of ecological conservation importance, there are currently no techniques to identify ecological conservation priority areas in urban agglomerations by merging ecosystem service indicators and ecological vulnerability indicators, as well as the use of an ordered weighted averaging (OWA) operator combined with an objective weighting method. In the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), a new indicator system for evaluating the ecological conservation relevance was established by incorporating ecosystem service indicators, such as food production and carbon storage, and ecological vulnerability indicators, such as land use intensity, heavy rainfall days, and acid rain sensitivity, in order to balance out one-sided evaluation findings brought on by the removal of some ecosystem service values or critical ecosystem services. Then, using a combined subject-objective assignment method that blended spatial principal component analysis (SPCA) and OWA, the ideal scenario was selected based on conservation efficiency and tradeoff. With a trade-off degree of 0.6837 and a conservation efficiency of 1.0553, scenario 4 was determined to be the best option. In this case, the ecological conservation priority area's overall ecological conservation value is comparatively the highest, and the potential evaluation inaccuracy brought on by the issue of indicator trade-offs is somewhat mitigated. The priority ecological conservation areas of the GBA covered a total area of 26,406.04 km2, or 47.69% of the GBA's total land area. The majority of them were situated in areas outside the GBA's central region, including Zhaoqing, Huizhou, Hong Kong, the northern part of Guangzhou, the outer ring of Jiangmen, and the eastern coast of Shenzhen, among others. The red ecological protection line and the bulk of the surrounding general ecological space were effectively covered by the ecological conservation priority areas. This paper proposed a new technique for selecting ecological conservation priority areas in urban agglomerations, which can provide a theoretical framework and technological support for towns and urban agglomerations sustainable ecological development and regional ecosystem management, so as to successfully maintain the regional ecological security of urban agglomerations while better protecting and promoting human welfare.

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陈康富,吴隽宇.粤港澳大湾区城市群生态保护优先区识别研究.生态学报,2023,43(10):3855~3868

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