Abstract:Based on the field survey data, through analysis of static life table, survival curve, dynamic index, and other parameters, combined with time series model, the age structure dynamics of artificial H. ammodendron population was studied to predict the succession trend of artificial H. ammodendron population and provide theoretical basis for the restoration and reconstruction of degraded artificial H. ammodendron population. The results showed that:(1) the age structure of the artificial H. ammodendron population in Minqin oasis-desert ecotone was like "pyramid" type, and the young forest individuals accounted for 90.1% of the total species; (2) the survival curve of artificial of H. ammodendron population closed to Deevey-II type, which belongs to stable population. The mortality rate and disappearance rate of the first, second and third-age individuals in different regions were the highest. (3) the results of dynamic quantification showed that the population of artificial Haloxylon ammodendron presented an overall growth pattern and was highly sensitive to the external interference; (4) time series prediction analysis showed that after the next 2 and 4 age classes, the number of individuals of population II and IV increased significantly, and the development trend of artificial H. ammodendron population was better. The artificial H. ammodendron population in Minqin oasis-desert ecotone was a stable growth population, which had certain natural regeneration ability. In view of the high mortality rate of young individuals in this population, it is suggested to strengthen the precise tending management of the first, second and third age plants, improve the survival rate of seedlings through artificial auxiliary measures, and promote the sustainable development of artificial H. ammodendron forest.