全球人类福祉提升的碳强度差异测度:影响因素及空间溢出效应
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国家自然科学基金项目(42061026);2021年江西省社会科学规划重点项目(21JL01);2021年江西省文化名家暨"四个一批"人才工程项目(0220001401)


Measuring the global differences in the carbon intensity of human well-being: influencing factors and spatial spillover effects
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    实现低碳化的人类福祉提升是可持续发展的根本要求,人类福祉提升的碳强度指标是衡量可持续发展程度的新指标。论文使用了人类福祉碳强度指标,应用探索性空间数据分析法分析了全球人类福祉碳强度的时空演进格局,运用空间杜宾模型揭示了全球人类福祉碳强度的影响因素及其空间溢出效应。研究发现:(1)1980-2016年全球人类福祉碳强度明显降低,但在北美洲、欧洲和大洋洲国家与其他区域国家(地区)之间存在显著差距。(2)经济增长、能源消费结构、工业化、资本积累、死亡率等因素提高了全球人类福祉碳强度,贸易依存度则是不断降低全球人类福祉碳强度的主要驱动力。(3)影响全球人类福祉碳强度差异的因素呈现区域异质性,能源消费结构、贸易依存度、工业化、资本积累、死亡率等因素对全球人类福祉碳强度的影响,因其经济发展水平和阶段不同而体现出明显的"南北差异"和不同的空间溢出效应。(4)周边国家的能源消费结构、工业化、资本积累和死亡率等因素会增加本国人类福祉碳强度,但本国人类福祉碳强度也会随着周边国家的经济增长和贸易依存度而降低。

    Abstract:

    Achieving low-carbon human well-being is the fundamental requirement of sustainable development. The index of carbon intensity of human well-being is a new measure of sustainable development. This paper used the index of carbon intensity of human well-being and employed the exploratory spatial data analysis method to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution pattern of global carbon intensity of human well-being. The spatial Durbin model was applied to reveal the influencing factors and spatial spillover effects of global carbon intensity of human well-being. The results showed that:(1) global carbon intensity of human well-being had significantly declined from 1980 to 2016, but there was a significant gap in the carbon intensity of human well-being between Northern America, Europe, Oceania nations and other regional nations (regions). (2) Economic development, energy consumption structure, industrialization, capital accumulation, and mortality rate had increased the global carbon intensity of human well-being, while dependence on foreign trade had reduced it. (3) The global carbon intensity of human well-being presented a regional heterogeneous structure in the driving and dynamic evolution of various factors. The impacts of industrialization, dependence on foreign trade, energy consumption structure, capital accumulation, and mortality rate on the global carbon intensity of human well-being reflected obvious "north-south difference" and heterogeneously spatial spillover effects due to the different levels and stages of economic development. (4) Energy consumption structure, industrialization, capital accumulation, and mortality rate in the neighboring nations of a nation increased the carbon intensity of human well-being in the nation, but the carbon intensity of human well-being in the nation also decreased with the economic development and dependence on foreign trade of the neighboring nations.

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任慧敏,王圣云.全球人类福祉提升的碳强度差异测度:影响因素及空间溢出效应.生态学报,2023,43(12):4858~4867

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