1982-2020年内蒙古地区极端气候变化及其对植被的影响
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内蒙古自然科学基金项目(2020LH04003,2019MS04003);内蒙古自治区高等学校科学技术研究项目(NJZY21542);内蒙古自治区高等学校青年科技英才支持计划项目(NJYT22028)


Extreme climate changes in the Inner Mongolia and their impacts on vegetation dynamics during 1982-2020
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    摘要:

    内蒙古地处生态环境脆弱区,对气候变化尤为敏感。在全球气候变暖背景下,探究极端气候变化及其影响显得尤为重要。基于内蒙古地区115个气象站点1982-2020年的逐日气象数据,从强度、持续时间、频率3个维度出发计算了18个极端气候指数,在综合分析极端气候的时空变化特征的基础上,运用地理探测器和皮尔逊相关分析方法,定量评估极端气候对该区植被的影响。结果表明:(1)极端暖指数均呈增加趋势,说明1982-2020年期间内蒙古地区极端偏暖现象增多。(2)持续干旱日数与持续湿润日数呈减少趋势,说明39年来内蒙古地区连续性无降水天数和降水天数均减少。(3)极端气候指数与归一化植被指数(NDVI)的相关关系表现出明显的空间异质性,表明内蒙古不同区域NDVI对各极端气候指数的响应程度不同。(4)因子探测器结果表明极端降水指数相对于极端气温指数来说,对内蒙古植被生长变化的影响较大。研究结果可为内蒙古地区防灾减灾与生态修复工程提供一定的科学依据。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, a growing number of reports and studies have shown that extreme weather events will become more frequent, which will cause serious impacts and losses to society, economy and human life. In the context of global warming, it is especially significant to explore the characteristics of extreme climate change and its impact on ecosystem. Vegetation plays a key role in the terrestrial ecosystem. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is the best indicator for monitoring the growth state and spatial distribution of terrestrial vegetation, and is often used to reflect the response of vegetation dynamics to climate change in the region. The Inner Mongolia is located in a fragile ecological environment and is particularly sensitive to climate change. Therefore, it is necessary to explore the dynamic change of extreme climate in Inner Mongolia and its impact on vegetation, which can provide a scientific basis for disaster mitigation and ecological restoration projects in the Inner Mongolia. Based on the daily meteorological data of 115 meteorological stations in the Inner Mongolia from 1982 to 2020, this paper selected and calculated 18 extreme climate indices from three dimensions of intensity, duration, and frequency, and comprehensively analyzed the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of extreme climate. On this basis, the geographical detectors and Pearson correlation analysis methods were used to quantitatively evaluate the impact of extreme climate on vegetation in the region. The results showed that:(1) the extreme warm temperature indices all showed an increasing trend, indicating that extreme warm phenomenon in the Inner Mongolia has increased during the period 1982-2020. (2) Both consecutive dry days and consecutive wet days showed a decreasing trend, indicating that the continuous drought and precipitation events in the Inner Mongolia have decreased in the past 39 years. (3) The correlation between the extreme climate indices and the NDVI showed obviously spatial heterogeneity, which is shown as follows:the NDVI and extreme warm indices are positively correlated in the east, but negatively correlated in the central region; the NDVI was significantly positively correlated with extreme precipitation intensity and frequency indices in the central Inner Mongolia. (4) The factor detector results showed that the extreme precipitation index had a greater impact on the vegetation growth and changes than the extreme temperature index in the Inner Mongolia. In general, the paper can provide the theoretical evidence for disaster mitigation and ecological environment conservation in the Inner Mongolia.

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苏日罕,郭恩亮,王永芳,银山,顾锡羚,康尧,包山虎.1982-2020年内蒙古地区极端气候变化及其对植被的影响.生态学报,2023,43(1):419~431

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