2000-2019年长江流域植被覆盖时空演化及其驱动因素
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湖南省自然资源厅科技项目经费资助(2022-49);2020中南林业科技大学生态学博士后科研启动基金项目(45200012-253260);2019国家社科基金项目(19BJY045)


Spatial-temporal variations of vegetation coverage and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Basin from 2000 to 2019
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    摘要:

    长江流域作为中国重要的生态屏障,科学认识长江流域植被覆盖时空变化及其驱动因素,对有效开展长江流域生态工程建设具有重要的指导意义与应用价值。基于2000-2019年间MODIS-NDVI与相关气象等数据,采用Theil-Sen median趋势分析、Mann-Kendall检验、变异系数、偏相关分析、残差分析等方法,研究了近20年来长江流域植被覆盖的时空分布与变化特征,并探究了研究区植被覆盖的驱动因素。结果表明:(1)时间变化上,长江流域生长季NDVI呈现波动增长趋势,显著改善面积大于退化面积;(2)空间分布上,流域植被覆盖空间分布格局大致呈现为"中部高,东西低",生长季NDVI多年均值为0.6164,呈较高植被覆盖状态;(3)变化趋势上,植被增长区域大于减少区域,具体表现为"中部强于东部、东部强于西部";(4)变化稳定性上,流域植被变异系数介于0.0104-1.3199之间,呈现出"中间低,东西高,东西部局部区域高低波动并存,地域性差异明显"的空间变化稳定性特征;(5)影响因素上,流域植被覆盖变化受气温和降水的共同影响,大部分区域生长季NDVI变化以气候驱动为主,局部区域表现自然因素叠加人为因素作用的共同驱动,残差分析显示人类活动对长江流域植被覆盖以正效应为主。

    Abstract:

    The Yangtze River Basin is an important ecological barrier in China. Scientific understanding of the spatial-temporal variations of vegetation coverage and associated driving forces in the Yangtze River Basin are of great significance and application value for the effective development of ecological engineering construction for Yangtze River Basin. Based on MODIS-NDVI data and meteorological data from 2000 to 2019, this study investigated the spatio-temporal variation and change characteristics of vegetation coverage in the Yangtze River Basin during past 20 years, and the driving factors of vegetation coverage in the study area was explored by using the methods of Theil-Sen median trend analysis, Mann-Kendall test, coefficient of variation, partial correlation analysis and residual analysis. The results are as follows:(1) in terms of time scale, the NDVI in the growth season of the Yangtze River Basin showed a fluctuating growth trend, and the significantly improved area was larger than the degraded area; (2) In terms of spatial distribution, the spatial distribution pattern of vegetation coverage appears as characteristics of "high in the middle and low in the east and west" in the Yangtze River Basin. The multi-year average value of the NDVI in the growing season is 0.6164, showing a high vegetation coverage state; (3) In terms of change trend, the vegetation growth area is larger than the decrease area, which is specifically expressed as "the central region is stronger than the east, and the east is stronger than the west"; (4) In terms of change stability, the coefficient of variation is between 0.0104 and 1.3199, showing the characteristics of "low in the middle, high in the east and west, high and low fluctuations in local areas of east and west, and obviously regional differences" for the spatial variation of stability; (5) In terms of influencing factors, the change of vegetation cover in the Yangtze River Basin was affected by both climate and precipitation. In most regions, the change of NDVI in the growing season was mainly driven by climate, while in some regions, it was driven by the combination of natural factors and human factors. Residual analysis showed that human activities had a positive effect on vegetation cover in the Yangtze River Basin.

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易浪,孙颖,尹少华,魏晓,欧阳晓.2000-2019年长江流域植被覆盖时空演化及其驱动因素.生态学报,2023,43(2):798~811

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