Abstract:CO2 fertilization is the main reason for global greening. With the persistent increase in CO2 concentration, it is critically significant to evaluate the effect of CO2 fertilization on the global terrestrial ecosystem. Gross primary productivity (GPP) quantifies the photosynthetic uptake of carbon by terrestrial ecosystems, and it is the basis of the global carbon cycle. Leaf area index (LAI) is a vegetation structural parameter that modulates the interaction between the land surface and the atmosphere and therefore is used in many terrestrial biosphere models. LAI is a critical parameter for leaf-to-canopy upscaling in the terrestrial biosphere models at the regional and global scales. Therefore, a reliable estimation of CO2 fertilization on LAI is crucial for understanding and predicting the terrestrial carbon cycle under future climate change. Due to the complexity and spatiotemporal difference in the global terrestrial ecosystems, there are still large uncertainties in simulating global LAI based on phenology and carbon dynamic allocation in Earth system models. Thus, in this study, we used the future scenario climate data, combined with the Farquhar and Boreal Ecosystem Productivity Simulator (BEPS) model to investigate the effect of CO2 fertilization on the global LAI and GPP during 2020-2050. The results showed that for RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios, the CO2 fertilization led to the global LAI interannual trends were 0.002, 0.003, and 0.005 m-2m-2a-1, respectively. The LAI increased 8.1%-9.2%, resulting in a corresponding increase in GPP of 7.9%-14.6% per 0.1% CO2 concentration. The contributions of LAI to the global terrestrial ecosystem GPP were 66.7%, 48.7%, and 57.1%, respectively. It shows that CO2 fertilization is still the primary reason for increasing LAI under future climate scenarios. The increase of LAI caused by CO2 fertilization will significantly promote the carbon uptake of global terrestrial ecosystems.