Ecological recreation service plays a vital role in the development of China from high-speed to high-quality urbanization. However, the research on eco-recreation services and their spatial associations has not yet been fully integrated into the assessment of ecosystem services, which has restricted the application of ecosystem services evaluation in decision-making management. Xiong'an New Area is a case of exploratory and practical significance for the construction of new smart ecological cities in China even all over the world. During the process of constructing and planning in this new distinct, two targets including ‘ecological harmony’ and ‘green livable city’ are of tremendous importance. In order to achieve these goals, it is imperative to enhance the ability of recreational ecosystem services for residents. Therefore, in this work, we focused on two key scientific problems, namely eco-recreation services process and spatial analysis, to identify the spatial associations, developed a GIS application module, and realized spatial simulation and visualization of regional eco-recreation services. For evaluating the impact of the development on recreational ecosystem services, an evaluation model based on attractiveness and accessibility was established to assess the capabilities of recreational ecosystem services in Xiong'an New Area in 2018. Then, according to spatial planning scenarios, we also predicted the scenarios in 2035. Furthermore, the correlation between critically social influencing factors and recreational ecosystem services was analyzed on the basis of geographic detectors. Results showed that:(1) the attractiveness index of recreational ecosystem services in 2018, with Baiyangdian Lake as the core, decreased with the increase of distance. Besides, high-accessibility areas were mainly distributed in Xiongzhou, Anxin and Rongcheng towns. The comprehensive index of ecosystem leisure services in Xiong'an area was 5.10 in 2018, and the overall supply was medium-accessible. (2) Compared with 2018, the Complex Index of recreational ecosystem services will increase by 0.32 in 2035, while the distinct will be still in a medium-supply-accessible state. For the spatial distribution, the high attraction area will expand to some extent, for Baiyangdian Lake will be still the core, and the high accessibility areas will be concentrated in the northern starting area and surrounding groups. (3) There was an obvious spatio-tempo discrepancy in the driving forces of social factors on ecosystem leisure services. The main driving factors has switched from population density and GDP density in 2018 to GDP density and the proportion of tertiary industry in 2035. The results of the evaluation and prediction can provide systematic countermeasures and suggestions for the planning and construction of the Complex Index in Xiong'an New Area.