基于最优性原理的普适性碳水通量耦合估算方法研究
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国家自然科学基金青年项目(42001356);科技部重点研发计划(2018YFA0605400);国家自然科学基金优青项目(32022052)


Towards a universal model for estimating Gross Primary Productivity and evapotranspiration coupling based on First-Principles Theory
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The National Key Technologies R&D Program of China,The National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars

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    摘要:

    陆地生态系统碳、水通量估算是地球系统科学研究的基础和重要内容之一。当前部分碳、水通量模型在外推的过程中受到参数化结构和特征参数的限制,难以提升应用范围和结果精度。以生态水文最优性原理为理论工具,将基于该原理构建的C3植物普适性生产力模型P model推广至C4植物;在此基础上结合植物气孔行为的环境响应规律和水碳耦合原理,发展具有普适性的碳水通量耦合估算方法,协同计算我国总初级生产力(GPP,Gross Primary Production)和蒸散(ET,Evapotranspiration)。基于ChinaFLUX数据集的站点尺度验证结果表明,基于P model发展的的GPP和ET普适性估算方法精度表现良好:GPP估算结果与地面观测相比,相关系数R2=0.61,均方根误差RMSE=2.1gC/d,拟合斜率0.96;ET估算结果相关系数R2=0.66,RMSE=0.85mm/d,拟合斜率1.04。基于Google Earth Engine云平台实现了全国尺度GPP和ET计算,模拟结果与遥感太阳诱导叶绿素荧光观测、同类ET产品相比具有合理的空间分布,表明基于最优性原理构建的普适性碳水通量耦合估算模型在空间拓展的过程中稳定可靠。此外,与传统参数化导度模型的环境敏感性对比分析表明,采用的普适性通量计算方案能够在无法获取准确土地覆被信息或模型训练样本不足的情况下取得稳定的计算结果,具有良好的应用和发展前景。

    Abstract:

    Projecting terrestrial carbon and water flux is the basis of earth system science and relevant subjects. Current carbon and water flux models perform nonnegligible uncertainty in remote sensing applications and in predicting the future dynamic of earth system, which is mainly caused by the parameterization-structure and type-based parameters. Therefore, to improve the model performance is of great importance during extrapolation by describing plant physiological process and avoiding dividing terrestrial surface by type-based parameters. The First-Principles Theory, which considers plants intend to maximum carbon gain with least resource cost by self-optimality, provides a universal criterion for predicting its behaviour. Existing research has proved that carbon uptake by C3 plants could be estimated by a universal model based on First Principles Theory. In this research, we use this productivity model, the P model, to coupling estimate terrestrial Gross Primary Production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) in China. The GPP of C4 plants is estimated by an extension of current P model. Terrestrial ET is divided into biotic transpiration and abiotic evaporation. We use the Penman-Monteith equation to estimate transpiration. The critical variable in the equation, canopy conductance, can be predicted by the P model with the environmental conditions as input. Evaporation from soil and interception is estimated on the basis of a universal empirical function. The model requires no type-based parameter to be calibrated. We carried out validation with site scale and country scale. Site-scale validation is based on the ChinaFLUX dataset. Seven sites with 54 years of observation are selected. The Yucheng site has maize flux observation for C4 sub-model. Comparison between the modelled results and observation indicates our model's robustness:R2 between estimated GPP at seven sites and observation is 0.61, RMSE=2.1 gC/d, fitting slope=0.96, R2 of ET estimation is 0.66, RMSE=0.85 mm/d, fitting slope=1.04. We also mapped GPP and ET in China with the calculation capacity and gridded meteorological product provided by Google Earth Engine (GPP from 2007 to 2015, ET from 2003 to 2018). We observed a reasonable spatial pattern from comparing GPP with remotely sensed Sun-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence (SIF) product and from comparing ET with other products. Good consistency of flux estimation with site and country scale observation proves the robustness of our proposed universal model. Moreover, a sensitivity comparison of our universal model against parameterization models indicates our universal model achieves better performance under the circumstances without accurate land cover information or an effective quantity of training samples. The robustness of theory and the reasonable result of our universal model would be helpful for earth system science and regional resource monitoring based on remote sensing.

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谭深,王焓.基于最优性原理的普适性碳水通量耦合估算方法研究.生态学报,2022,42(4):1487~1499

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