COVID-19疫情期间城郊森林公园O3变化对NO2减排响应的多重分形模式
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国家自然科学基金项目(52160024);湖南省自然科学基金项目(2020JJ4504)


Multifractal pattern of the response of O3 concentration change to NO2 emission reduction in suburban forest park during the COVID-19 epidemic
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    摘要:

    COVID-19疫情的爆发使得大气NO2排放量急剧减少,张家界城区O3浓度也随之降低,然而城郊的国家森林公园内O3浓度却有较大幅度升高。旨在基于多重分形去趋势互相关分析(MFDCCA)方法和自组织临界(SOC)理论来揭示疫情期间张家界不同生态功能区大气O3浓度变化对NO2污染急剧减排的不同响应机制。基于张家界3个大气监测站点(未央路、永定新区和袁家界)在疫情期间(2020年3月1日-5月31日)和非疫情期间(2019年同期) NO2、O3小时平均浓度数据,首先应用MFDCCA方法对NO2和O3互相关性的多尺度特征进行分析。研究结果发现,各站点NO2和O3之间的互相关性存在较强的长期持续性和多重分形特征。其中,疫情期间各站点NO2和O3互相关的长期持续性平均增强了19.4%,而多重分形性平均减弱5.7%,主要原因与疫情期间NO2集中减排引起O3大气化学反应的变化有关。进而,应用SOC理论对NO2和O3之间互相关长期持续性形成的宏观动力机制进行分析。结果发现,袁家界站点O3演化处于自组织临界状态,SOC内禀动力机制是导致疫情期间张家界国家森林公园内O3浓度增高的重要非线性动力学机制。而未央路和永定新区站点O3演化处于亚临界状态,这也是导致城区站点O3浓度减低的主要原因。正确识别森林生态系统中O3演化的自组织临界特征,对于高浓度O3生成的风险评估具有重要意义,有助于科学评估人类旅游活动对森林生态系统造成的影响。

    Abstract:

    With the outbreak of COVID-19 epidemic, the atmospheric NO2 emission has decreased sharply. This led to the reduction of O3 level in urban area of Zhangjiajie, but the increase of it in the suburban National Forest Park. Therefore, this study mainly aims to reveal the different responses dynamic mechanism of atmospheric O3 concentration changes to the sharp reduction of NO2 pollution in different ecological function areas of Zhangjiajie during the epidemic period (March 1-May 31, 2020) by Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MFDCCA) and self-organized critical theory (SOC). Based on the hourly average concentration data of NO2 and O3 at three monitoring stations in Zhangjiajie (Weiyang Road, Yongding New District, and Yuanjiajie) during the epidemic period (March 1-May 31, 2020) and non-epidemic period (March 1-May 31, 2019), the MFDCCA was used to analyze the multi-scale characteristics of the cross-correlation between NO2 and O3. The results indicated that the cross-correlation between NO2 and O3 at each station had strong long-term persistence characteristics and multi-fractal characteristics. The long-term persistence of the cross-correlation between NO2 and O3 increased by 19.4% on average, and the multi-fractal decreased by 5.7% on average, which was mainly related to the change of atmospheric chemical reaction of O3 caused by the centralized emission reduction of NO2 during the COVID-19 epidemic control period. Furthermore, SOC was applied to analyze the macro dynamic mechanism of long-term persistence for cross-correlation between NO2 and O3. The results showed that the evolution of O3 at the Yuanjiajie station was in a self-organized critical state, and the SOC intrinsic dynamic mechanism was an important nonlinear dynamic mechanism that led to the increase of O3 concentration in Zhangjiajie National Forest Park during the epidemic. However, the O3 evolution of Weiyang Road and Yongding New Area stations did not yet reach the self-organized critical state, and was only in a subcritical state. This was also the main reason for the decrease of O3 concentration at urban stations. Accurate identification of the self-organized critical characteristics in O3 evolution is of great significance for risk assessment for the generation of high O3 concentrations, and it helps to scientifically assess the impact of human tourism activities on the forest ecosystem.

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张娇,刘春琼,吴波,杜娟,史凯. COVID-19疫情期间城郊森林公园O3变化对NO2减排响应的多重分形模式.生态学报,2021,41(24):9669~9680

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