基于SENCE概念框架的区域水生态安全评价研究——以甘肃地区17流段为例
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甘肃省重点研发计划(18YF1FA081)


Regional water ecological security evaluation based on SENCE conceptual framework-taking 17 flow sections in Gansu province as an example
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    摘要:

    作为生态环境至关重要的因素,水生态安全格局是生态安全格局的关键组成部分,科学评估水生态安全状况,进行生态系统管理及保护,对促进经济社会发展具有重要意义。选取甘肃地区17个流段为研究对象,基于SENCE (社会-经济-自然复合生态系统)概念构建涵盖经济发展、社会进步、自然资源、生态环境4方面33指标的初步水生态安全评价指标体系,基于改进生态位理论结合模糊系统分析对初步水生态安全评价指标体系进行优化,最终得到28指标构成的水生态安全评价优化指标体系,运用优化后指标体系对17流段2016-2018年间水生态安全状况模糊综合评价。结果表明:水生态安全状况良好(一级、二级)以上占比分别为35.3%、41.2%、35.3%,一般(三级)占比分别为57.8%、52.0%、46.1%,较差(四级)占比分别为23.5%、11.8%、11.8%,大致呈正态分布,且年际变化小,基本保持稳定。年平均降水量、河川基流量、地表水源供应量、生态环境用水量、节水灌溉面积等指标累计指标权重达47.75%,是影响水生态安全状况的主要影响因子。

    Abstract:

    As a crucial factor of ecological environment, water ecological security pattern is a key component of ecological security pattern. Scientifically evaluating water ecological security situation, carrying out ecosystem management and protection have great significance to promote economic and social development. Taking 17 flow sections of Gansu province as the research object, the initial water ecological security evaluation index system was constructed based on the social-economic-compound ecological system (SENCE) concept, The system contains 33 indicators and is divided into four parts of economic development, social progress, natural resources, ecological environment. Combining fuzzy system analysis and improved niche theory, the initial water ecological security evaluation index system was optimized and the final optimized water ecological security evaluation index system consisted of 28 indicators. By the optimized index system to fuzzy comprehensive evaluation the water ecological security situation of the 17 flow sections in Gansu province from 2016 to 2018.The results showed that the proportion of water ecological security in the 17 flow sections with good condition was 35.3%, 41.2%, 35.3% from 2016 to 2018, respectively, the ratio of general condition was 57.8%, 52.0% and 46.1%, respectively,the proportion of the poor was 23.5%, 11.8% and 11.8%, respectively.The evaluation results were normally distributed,the inter-annual variation was small and the proportion was basically stable. The cumulative weight of such indicators as annual average precipitation, river-based flow, surface water supply, ecological environment water consumption, and water-saving irrigation area has reached 47.75%, These were the main factors affecting the water ecological security.

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戴文渊,陈年来,李金霞,张芮.基于SENCE概念框架的区域水生态安全评价研究——以甘肃地区17流段为例.生态学报,2021,41(4):1332~1340

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