东亚夏季风进退对我国南方水稻主产区稻纵卷叶螟发生的影响
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国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201306053);国家自然科学基金面上项目(41475106)


Impact of East Asian summer monsoon advancing and retreating on occurrence of Cnaphalocrocis medinalis Guenée in the main rice-growing regions of south China
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National public welfare industry (Meteorological) research (GYHY201306053), National Science Foundation of China (41475106)

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    摘要:

    为了探明东亚季风对我国南方水稻主产区稻纵卷叶螟迁飞的影响,为中短期预警提供科学依据,利用2000-2016年中国稻纵卷叶螟赶蛾量数据,结合NECP气象再分析资料,分析了东亚夏季风进退与我国南方水稻主产区稻纵卷叶螟迁飞的关系,结果表明:(1)稻纵卷叶螟的初始迁入与东亚夏季风的向北推进密切相关,除华南稻区稻纵卷叶螟迁入始期提前于东亚夏季风北界经过该区的时间外,在其他稻区两者基本同步;东亚夏季风北边界在不同稻区首次和二次出现的早晚对该稻区稻纵卷叶螟的向北迁入的始期具有一定的指示意义。(2)各稻区北迁的高峰期一般都发生在东亚夏季风控制范围内,其中6月中旬-8月上旬东亚夏季风活动范围到达30°N以北地区,此时是我国南方稻区稻纵卷叶螟北迁峰次最多、迁入量最集中的时期;东亚夏季风北界在本30°N以北地区持续时间的长短与稻纵卷叶螟年发生程度呈显著的正相关。(3)8月中下旬是东亚冬、夏季风的转换期,也是稻纵卷叶螟种群的"混合迁"发生期,此时,西南稻区和江淮稻区北部迎来初次南迁峰;9月后东亚夏季风开始南撤,东北冬季风快速南下,稻纵卷叶螟种群也随之不断向南迁飞。(4)2007年稻纵卷叶螟在江淮稻区特大爆发的大气背景是:6月末-7月的强西南季风使沿江稻区迁入虫量比常年显著增加,也为7月下旬至8月下旬稻纵卷叶螟大规模向江淮稻区迁入奠定了虫源基础;7月份江南、华南地区的降水异常偏少使喜湿的稻纵卷叶螟种群进一步向沿江和江淮地区聚集;8月份东亚夏季风的回撤偏晚以及9月份华北地区和江淮地区北部的相对偏暖,使江淮稻区稻纵卷叶螟种群在当地滞留时间偏长、南迁起始期和高峰期异常偏晚。

    Abstract:

    This paper aims to ascertain the impact of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) on immigration of rice leaf roller, Cnaphalocrocis medinalis Guenée, in the main rice-growing regions of south China and provide a scientific basis for the medium and short term warning of C. medinalis. The influence of the EASM advancing and retreating on the immigration of C. medinalis in China was analyzed using the pentadly moth catches of C. medinalis from 2000 to 2016 and the daily reanalyzed meteorological dataset from the National Center of Environment Predicting (NCEP) in USA. The results showed as follows:(1) The northward migration of C. medinalis was closely related to the northward advancement of EASM. Except for the immigration beginning dates of C. medinalis in the rice-growing region of South China which was earlier than the beginning dates of the northern margin of EASM, the two beginning dates were basically synchronized in other rice regions. The first appearance and second appearance of the northern margin of EASM in different rice-growing regions had certain indication significance for the beginning of C. medinalis northward immigration. (2) The peak events of northward immigration generally occured in the control areas of EASM. When the north margin of EASM moved to the north of 30°N from mid-June to early August, more peak events of northward immigration usually with large populations took place in the main rice-growing regions of southern China. The duration of EASM north of 30°N was positively correlated with the annual occurrence of C. medinalis. (3) The middle and late ten days in August was the period of monsoon transition in East Asia and was also a period combined the northward migration with southward migration of C. medinalis populations when the first batch of southward migration peaks occurred in southwest China and the north of the rice-growing regions between the Yangtze River and the Huaihe River. From the beginning of September, when EASM began to retreat and the prevailing northeast wind with the attribute of winter monsoon moved southward rapidly, the populations of C. medinalis moved southward simultaneously. (4) In this paper, the atmospheric background for the outbreak of C. medinalis in the rice-growing regions between the Yangtze River and the Huaihe River in 2007 were investigated. Firstly, the strong southwest monsoon from the end of June to July increased significantly the immigrating amount of C. medinalis in the rice-growing region along the valley of Yangtze River which laid a foundation for the large-scale migration of C. medinalis from the rice-growing region along the valley of Yangtze River to the rice-growing region between the Yangtze River and the Huaihe River. Secondly, the anomalous low precipitation in the south of the Yangtze River and South China in July led to the further accumulation of hygrophilous C. medinalis populations in the rice-growing region along the valley of the Yangtze River and the rice-growing region between the Yangtze River and the Huaihe River. Thirdly, the delaying of EASM retreating in August and the relative warm of the North China and the region between the Yangtze River and the Huaihe River in September detained C. medinalis populations in these areas. At last, the beginning dates and the peak dates of their migration southward were unusually late.

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包云轩,王明飞,陈粲,陆明红,刘万才.东亚夏季风进退对我国南方水稻主产区稻纵卷叶螟发生的影响.生态学报,2019,39(24):9351~9364

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