应用红外相机监测结果估计小型啮齿类物种的种群密度
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中国科学院动物研究所,中国科学院动物研究所,东北林业大学野生动物资源学院,长白山科学研究院,中国科学院动物研究所

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国家自然科学基金项目(31572287);长白山科学研究院科研开放基金资助项目


Estimating population density of small rodents using camera traps
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Institute of Zoology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Institute of Zoology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,College of Wildlife Resources, Northeast Forestry University,Changbai Mountain Academy of Sciences,Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    红外相机(或称相机陷阱)技术可以提供物种组成、种群数量和行为等信息,广泛应用于野生动物的监测与管理。对于可以个体识别的物种,红外相机结合标志重捕法可准确估计其种群密度。但对于不可个体识别的动物,目前尚无成熟方法来估计其种群密度。建立了一个新方法,通过模拟个体运动并匹配红外相机监测数据来估计动物的种群密度。在长白山国家级自然保护区25hm2森林动态监测样地中,以每公顷一台的密度布设红外相机,调查小型啮齿动物的种群数量。在2011年和2012年冬季分别监测41d和40d。然后,设计模型模拟不同密度下啮齿类物种的运动过程,同时记录它们在25hm2的区域内被25台相机拍摄的次数。应用随机森林算法建立回归模型来匹配模拟结果与监测结果,估计啮齿类物种在样地内的密度及其置信区间。这是一种全新的利用红外相机监测数据估计种群密度的方法,可以填补对不可个体识别物种密度估计方法的空缺。

    Abstract:

    Using camera traps can provide valuable information for estimating wildlife density, and further contributes to conservation activities. For species that can be individually recognized, such as tigers and leopards, camera trapping combined with mark-recapture techniques can provide reliable estimates of population density. However, most species cannot be individually recognized, and no sophisticated models are available for accurate estimation of their densities. At present, the only available model is Rowcliffe et al.'s gas molecule movement model, which assumes animals behave like ideal gas particles, moving randomly and independently of one another. Such a model is not appropriate for either territorial or social species, or elusive species that usually move along trails. We developed a novel method to estimate the population density of animals that cannot be individually recognized. This method is based on the simulation of animal movement and pseudo camera trapping processes at a series of population densities. We matched results of real camera trapping with those of simulated camera trapping to estimate population density. The method was coded using the R language. We deployed 25 cameras (LTL5120) in the 25 hm2 forest dynamics plot in the Changbaishan National Nature Reserve, China for 41 days in the winter of 2011 and 40 days in the winter of 2012. The Siberian chipmunk (Eutamias sibiricus)and Korean field mouse (Apodemus peninsulae) are two dominant species in the plot. Animal movement was simulated by setting a starting location and a series of moving directions and step lengths. The starting location was a randomly selected point in the survey area. The direction of the first movement, θ, was also randomly selected from a range of 0-2π. The length and angle of deflection of subsequent movements followed normal distributions N (1 m, 0.1 m) and N (0, 30 degrees), respectively. We also defined a home range for each species by forcing the simulated animal to return to the starting location (assumed to be a mouse hole) at a rate of D/50, where D is the distance in meters between the current and original locations. The simulations of animal movement were run under a series of population densities. We matched the simulated results and the observed photo records using the random forest algorithm to estimate the population density and its confidence intervals. This analysis determined that the density of the Siberian chipmunk is 1.96hm2, and 2.71hm2 for the Korean field mouse. Our method has a number of limitations. First, the movement pattern of the target species must be known. In this study, we selected movement parameters (step length, angle of deflection, home range size, etc.) by visually checking the simulated footprint chains, which should be replaced by field tracking. Second, the cameras must be deployed in the field systematically, at regular intervals, so that virtual camera trapping can be simulated accordingly. In spite of the limitations, this method can provide reliable estimates for population density for animals that cannot be individually recognized. Our new method can be used for other camera trapping practices, as long as the movement pattern of the species is known.

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李欣海,于家捷,张鹏,朴正吉,肖治术.应用红外相机监测结果估计小型啮齿类物种的种群密度.生态学报,2016,36(8):2311~2318

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