新疆生态经济系统可持续发展空间格局
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中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,四川农业大学经济管理学院 四川省农村研究发展中心

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中国科学院西部行动计划项目(KZCX2-XB3-01);新疆重点资源开发利用项目(Y243101001)


Research on the spatial patterns of ecological and economic sustainable development capacities in the Xinjiang Region
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Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi Xinjiang,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi Xinjiang,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi Xinjiang,Agricultural Development Research Center of Sichuan,College of Economics and Management,Sichuan Agricultural University

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    摘要:

    运用生态足迹模型、生态经济系统发展能力指标、生态压力区分区标准和生态经济系统分区标准分析了1995-2010年新疆生态可持续性和生态经济系统可持续性的时空演变过程。结果表明:(1)1995-2010年间,生态压力指数、生态赤字总体逐年增大,新疆生态环境不可持续性增强;生态经济系统发展能力指数呈快速上涨趋势,生态经济系统发展能力显著提高,万元GDP生态足迹显著下降,资源利用效率有明显的提高。(2)各地州市1995-2010年间区域差异逐渐增大,生态赤字区逐渐增多,生态压力指数逐渐增大,生态环境不可持续性逐渐增强。一直处于高生态压力区的是乌鲁木齐市、克拉玛依市和石河子市,主要是因为它们经济发展水平和城市化水平高,生物资源、能源消费量大。(3)2000年后,各地州市可持续发展状况发生巨大的变化,主要是因为生态足迹的快速增长,生态承载力基本不变,导致生态压力指数增大,生态赤字增加,归根源于西部大开发战略的成效显著,新疆各地州市经济发展和人口快速增长,生物资源能源消费量增多;1995-2010年间,新疆各地州市生态经济系统发展能力和资源利用效率有了显著提高,但是区域差异变大。新疆生态环境和生态经济系统可持续发展面临挑战。

    Abstract:

    The quantitative measurement of sustainable development has become one of the frontiers of sustainable development research since the concept was put forward. Ecological footprint theory, as an important tool for the quantitative assessment of regional sustainable development, is currently accepted by a majority of experts and scholars. The ecological footprint concept was formally introduced by William Rees and Mathis Wackernagel in the early 1990s, and it was then used widely as a measure of sustainability. However, it is also criticized by scholars because evidence, such as static accounts, suggests that it falls short. In this paper, a method used for determining spatial and temporal disparities in ecological footprints is presented, and then combined with development capacity indexes, the evaluation criteria for ecological pressure based on the ecological pressure index and ecological deficit, and the evaluation criteria for ecological economic systems based on sustainable development capacity index. It is then applied to the Xinjiang Region for the time period spanning 1995 to 2010. The results indicate that from 1995 to 2010, the overall ecological deficit and ecological pressure index grew rapidly: the ecological deficit increased from 0.3702 hm2/capita in 1995 to 2.5395 hm2/capita in 2010, and the pressure index increased from 1.21 in 1995 to 2.51 in 2010. The Xinjiang Region has been changed from a low-ecological pressure area to a middle-ecological pressure area; this indicates that Xinjiang Region's development is unsustainable. On the other hand, development capacity grew slowly; the development capacity index increased from 2.88 in 1995 to 4.57 in 2010, which can be attributed to the low index of the ecological footprint's diversity. Additionally, the Xinjiang Region had improved resource-use efficiency; the ecological footprint of 10,000 Yuan GDP decreased from 4.1983 hm2 in 1995 to 1.6942 hm2 in 2010. At the state level, regional disparity in Xinxiang's ecological footprint continued to increase, the number of ecological deficit areas rose, and every state's ecological pressure index grew rapidly. The ecological footprints of Karamay City and Kashi Prefecture were 14.6565 hm2/capita (the largest) and 0.6572 hm2/capita (the smallest) respectively in 1995 while they were 34.9865 hm2/capita and 2.4912 hm2/capita respectively in 2010. There were five ecological deficit areas in 1995, while there were thirteen ecological deficit areas in 2010. This indicates that every state became more unsustainable, especially Urumqi City, Karamay City, and Shihezi City, which had been in high ecological pressure areas since 1995 because of their high level of economic development and urbanization. The reason every state's ecological pressure index grew rapidly is rapid economic development throughout the analyzed period. At the same time, every state's development capacity and resource-use efficiency had been improved, but regional disparity continued to widen, which can be attributed to the differences in resource endowment and the social economic foundation. According to the above results, the present developing model is not sustainable, the ecological environment is at risk, and Xinjiang Region's sustainable development faces a sizable challenge. Therefore, the following suggestions are proposed: introduction of new technology to increase yield, and improvements in energy and land utilization.

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熊传合,杨德刚,张新焕,唐宏.新疆生态经济系统可持续发展空间格局.生态学报,2015,35(10):3428~3436

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