黄土高原半干旱区气候变化对春小麦生长发育的影响——以甘肃定西为例
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国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)(2005AA601010-03);湖南省教育厅科学研究项目(10C1097);国家科技部重大水专项(2008ZX07211-001);吉首大学开放基金课题(10stlvyb05)


Impacts of climatic change on spring wheat growth in a semi-arid region of the Loess Plateau: a case study in Dingxi, Gansu Province
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    摘要:

    利用黄土高原半干旱区春小麦生长发育定位观测资料、加密观测和对应平行气象观测资料,分析气候变化对春小麦生长发育的影响,以及春小麦穗干重生长与气象条件的关系。结果表明,研究区域降水量年际变化呈下降趋势,降水量变化曲线线性拟合倾向率为-15.796 mm/10a。降水量存在3 a、6 a的年际周期变化。气温年际变化呈上升趋势,气温变化曲线线性拟合倾向率为0.362℃/10a。作物生长季干燥指数呈显著上升趋势,干燥指数变化曲线线性拟合倾向率为0.12/10a,20世纪90年代初至2009年明显趋于干旱化。春小麦播种到成熟约需110-130 d,期间≥0 ℃积温为1500-2000 ℃,降水量为150-200 mm,日照时数为800-1300 h。春小麦在播种后38 d开始,穗干重由缓慢生长转为迅速生长阶段;在播种后50 d,穗干重生长速度最大;播种后63 d开始,穗干重生长从迅速生长又转为缓慢生长。对春小麦生长发育全生育期而言,受气候变暖的影响,乳熟-成熟期每10 a缩短2-3 d、全生育期每10 a缩短4-5 d。气温对春小麦产量形成除出苗期和成熟期外,其余为负效应,孕穗期对气温变化十分敏感;降水量的影响函数同热量的影响函数呈反相位分布,除出苗期和成熟期降水量为负效应外,其余时段降水量对春小麦产量形成均为正效应,春小麦拔节-抽穗期对降水量变化十分敏感。

    Abstract:

    Spring wheat growth and meteorological condition observational data for a semi-arid region of the Loess Plateau were used to analyze the effects of climatic change on spring wheat growth and the relationship between spring wheat growth and meteorological conditions. The results showed that precipitation displays a descending trend, and changes at a velocity of -15.796mm/10a. In addition, an annual periodic change of 3a and 6a was observed. The temperature displayed an ascending trend and changed at a rate of 0.362℃/10a. The aridity index displayed a marked ascending trend and changed at a velocity of 0.12/10a. The aridification tendency was significant from the beginning of the 1990s to 2009. The whole growth period of spring wheat takes110-130days, during which1500-2000℃ in temperatune ( all of which should be above 0℃ ) should be accumulated , 150-200mm precipitation and 800-1300h sunshine duration are required. The results also showed that the dried weight growing velocity became much greater on day 38 after sowing and then decreased on day 63 after sowing. The highest velocity appeared on day 50 after sowing. The interval between the milky stage and maturation displayed a decreasing trend, and changed at a velocity of -2.874d/10a, that is ,it would be shortened by 2-3days /10a. The interval between the milky stage and maturation was significantly negatively correlated with the average temperature in June and July, and the entire growth period displays a decreasing trend on an annual basis, changing at -4.117days/10a, that is, it would be shortened by 4-5days/10a. The entire growth period was signi ficantly correlated with the average temperature from April to July. That is, it would be shortened when the average temperature was ascending. The entire growth period was significantly positively correlated with precipitation during this period; therefore, it would be extended when the precipitation increased. Except for the sowing-seeding stage and the maturation stage, the temperature was negatively correlated with the yield. The boot stage yield was very sensitive to temperature and the sensitive period was about 40-45d; therefore, the yield will decrease 15-18 g/m2 when the ten-day period average temperature increases by 1 ℃ because of climate warming. The influences of precipitation and temperature are distributed in an in-phase opposition. Except during the seeding stage and maturation stage, the precipitation is positively correlated with the yield, and the yield is very sensitive to precipitation during the jointing and earring stages. The sensitive period is about 50-60d, and the yield will decrease 14-20 g/m2 when the ten-day period precipitation increases by 1 mm. Sunshine hours were positively correlated with the yield in the sowing stage and the maturation stage. The impacts of meteorological factors on spring wheat growth showed an ascending trend, although the yield decreased significantly in 1995a, 1997a and 2007a because of the significant decrease in precipitation that occurred in these periods.

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姚玉璧,王润元,杨金虎,肖国举,张秀云.黄土高原半干旱区气候变化对春小麦生长发育的影响——以甘肃定西为例.生态学报,2011,31(15):4225~4234

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