气候年际变率对全球植被平均分布的影响
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国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


The impact of interannual climate variability on mean global vegetation distribution
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    摘要:

    采用改进后的通用陆面模式的动态植被模式(CLM-DGVM)研究当前气候条件下气候年际变率对全球潜在植被平均分布的影响。设计两组区域数值实验,一组使用基于NCEP再分析资料衍生的1960~1999多年气象数据循环驱动,对照实验使用这40年的气候平均态或单年气象资料驱动(即没有气候年际变率),分别考察有无气候年际变化对热带、温带和寒带的潜在植被分布平衡态的影响。在此基础上以1950~1999上述数据及对应的气候平均态为驱动做两组全球实验。结果表明气候年际变率导致全球植被总覆盖度下降,其中树和灌木减少而草增加;全球平均覆盖度的变化按常绿树、草、灌木、落叶树顺序递减,而相对变化(即格点覆盖度差异的绝对值的全球平均值与气候平均态下植物覆盖度的比值)按常绿树、落叶树、草、灌木顺序递增。在温度、降水、风速、比湿、光照、气压等六种气候因子中降水年际变率对于植被平均分布影响最显著。受降水影响,当年降水小于1200mm时植物总体覆盖度的差异随其变率增加而下降,其它时候影响不明显。年降水小于1500mm时树减少,幅度随变率变大而增加。常绿树无论降水多寡均减少,而落叶树在年降水大于1500mm时随其变率变大而增加。草在年降水小于1500mm、变率为中等时差异最大,降水较大时其年际变化对草的影响不大。

    Abstract:

    The impact of interannual climate variability on mean global potential vegetation distribution is investigated using the revised Community Land Model’s Dynamic Global Vegetation Model (CLM-DGVM). First two sets of regional simulations were run over 400 years in three classical climatic regions, with one driven by the cycling of 1960~1999 climate data derived from NCEP reanalysis data, and another by the climatology or repeated a single year of corresponding data. The latter didn’t contain interannual climate variability. Then two global simulations were run over 600 years, forcing by 1950~1999 climate data and the climatology respectively. Results show that interannual climate variability reduces mean global vegetation coverage, with less trees and shrubs but more grass; the global average coverage change in descending order as follows: evergreen tree, grass, shrub, deciduous tree, while the relative change rates (the ratio of global average absolute grid coverage change and coverage under climatology) increase in order as follows: evergreen tree, deciduous tree, grass and shrub. The interannual variability of precipitation has the most significant impact on the mean vegetation distribution among the six climatic factors (temperature, precipitation, wind, specific humidity, incident radiation and atmospheric pressure). Under the influence of precipitation, the difference of vegetation coverage decreases with increasing variability when annual precipitation is less than 1200 mm. Tree decreases when annual precipitation is less than 1500 mm, and the difference increases with the variability. Evergreen decreases independent with the precipitation, while the difference of deciduous tree increases with increasing variability when annual precipitation is more than 1500 mm. Difference of grass coverage is largest when annual precipitation is less than 1500 mm and its variability is moderate.

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邵璞,曾晓东.气候年际变率对全球植被平均分布的影响.生态学报,2011,31(6):1494~1505

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