低碳经济发展战略研究进展
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2010年度江苏省政府决策咨询重点课题研究成果之一


Research progresses in the development strategies of low-carbon economy
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    摘要:

    发展低碳经济已成为国家和区域发展的重要战略。从发展战略的角度,对低碳经济的产生背景、内涵和理论基础等进行了总结和归纳;在此基础上提出了低碳经济发展战略框架研究的主要内容,包括碳政治和碳排放权分配、目标思路、指标体系构建和碳排放的核算;从政策路径、政策工具和政策仿真等方面介绍了低碳经济发展战略的政策研究的主要内容和国内外研究进展。最后指出当前研究的不足之处和未来研究趋向,主要有:低碳经济理论的深入研究,低碳经济战略和政策工具研究,区域低碳经济发展模式研究,低碳经济发展潜力、市场规模和经济技术风险研究,碳减排标准规范的研究和制定。

    Abstract:

    As a worldwide integration of interests in ecology,economy and politics,Low-carbon economy has become an important strategy in many countries and regions. To achieve the goal of acting as a responsible country, China is now striving for a low-carbon development and sustainable development.This paper firstly summarized the progresses in low-carbon research,which include:background,conception,theory basis,etc. There were five basic connotations in understanding and definition of low-carbon economy,according to the provisions of the article.It proposed a study framework of development strategy of low-carbon economy,which include carbon politics and carbon emission rights distribution,objective strategies, indicator system and carbon emission estimation methods.Then,it introduced some progresses in domestics and aboard in the research of the development strategy of low-carbon economy from several aspects such as policy paths,policy tools,policy simulations,etc.Finally,this paper pointed out the inadequacies of the current study on low-carbon economy, and gave out several prospects for further study.Several trends and basic contents of domestic researches should be improved:(1)Further study of the theory of low-carbon economy,Such as theoretical basis,methodology and evaluation index system.(2)Study on the development strategy and policy tools of low-carbon economy. It is required to draw up a series of strategies from different perspectives of social economy and complete sets of policy tools in many ways.(3)Study on regional development modes.The target,such as total and subunit,comprehensive planning and route map with Chinese characteristics are drew up in order to make strategies of low-carbon development.(4)Development potential, market size, economic and technical risks analysis.The key point is to find the balance point of goals and values between economic development and carbon emission reduction.(5)Research on standard specifications of carbon emission reduction.It is necessary to strengthen the study on statistical computing methods of carbon footprint,estimation criterion of carbon emission intensity, controlling targets of carbon emission reduction in accordance with national ecological situation in China,etc.

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赵志凌,黄贤金*,赵荣钦,赖力.低碳经济发展战略研究进展.生态学报,2010,30(16):4493~4502

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