基于空间统计学方法的广州市生态安全空间异质性研究
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国家自然科学基金重点项目(40635029); 中国博士后基金重点项目及面上项目(20080440511,200902132);广州市科技计划项目(08C027)


Study on spatial-temporal heterogeneities of urban ecological security of Guangzhou based on spatial statistics
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    摘要:

    系统往往在空间上具有复杂性或变异性,即空间异质性;同时还是由多个层次组成的有序等级整体系统。对此进行的研究与分析是进一步理解生态过程的基础,也是正确认识生态过程及其驱动机制的前提。基于广州市生态安全的数字评价图,对生态安全进行空间统计学分析,包括空间自相关系数及其对不同分级数的效应、生态安全半方差的空间异质性、时间动态以及方向分异特征等,有利于识别其形成与发生变化机制,多层次探讨区域生态安全的主要影响因子。广州市生态安全空间异质性的主要特征为:区域生态安全的空间差异明显;中心城区生态安全程度最低;增城生态安全程度最高,但时间变异最大。空间自相关系数对分级数具有明显的响应;这种响应特征还表现为时间分异。半方差分析表明广州市生态安全空间结构具有区域、时间与方向分异性,且以区域空间异质性最为重要,揭示出广州市发展经济与保护环境的双重特性。

    Abstract:

    Based on digital figures of Guangzhou ecological security assessment which were contributed by the authors, the spatial-temporal heterogeneities of ecological security characteristics were analyzed by geo-statistic methods, including analysis of spatial self-relations and scale effectiveness, spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics of semi-variation of ecological security, and directional difference of ecological security characteristics. The paper had got the following important results: Spatial heterogeneity of regional ecological security of Guangzhou was great. The ecological security was lowest in the city center, and highest in Zengcheng. But the temporal variation was biggest in Zengcheng. A scale effectiveness of self-relations of ecological security was revealed, and the classification number 3 was sensitive scale. It′s obvious that the scale effectiveness of classification number was also temporal difference. The analysis of self-relations for Guangzhou ecological security heterogeneity revealed that spatial heterogeneity, temporal difference and directional difference were simultaneously representative. In those above, spatial heterogeneity was most important. It showed that ecological protection and economical development had been progressed in the period of 1990-2005 in Guangzhou.

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龚建周*,夏北成,刘彦随.基于空间统计学方法的广州市生态安全空间异质性研究.生态学报,2010,30(20):5626~5634

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