应用年龄结构产量模型评估印度洋黄鳍金枪鱼资源
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国家863计划资助项目(2007AA092201;2007AA092202);国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2006BAD09A05);上海市重点学科资助项目(S30702);大洋生物资源开发和利用上海市高校重点实验室开放基金资助项目(KF200805)


Stock assessment of Thunnus albacares in the Indian Ocean using age structured production mode
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    摘要:

    利用年龄结构产量模型(Age structured production model, ASPM)评估了印度洋黄鳍金枪鱼资源状况,同时结合亲体量-补充量曲线陡度系数和年龄组自然死亡系数的敏感性分析,描述了黄鳍金枪鱼资源的发展趋势、判断了开发状况。研究认为,陡度系数设在0.6-0.8才可能使亲体量产生出最大可持续产量(Maximum sustainable yield, MSY)的水平。采用美洲热带金枪鱼委员会推荐的自然死亡系数值时,评估结果最接近渔业现状。研究发现,随着捕捞努力量的增加,总资源量和亲体量呈逐年下降趋势,但总资源量自1990年后趋向稳定,维持在195.9-263.2万t,平均为221万t;亲体量在1994年后下降到100万t以下,1997年以后处在维持MSY所需亲体量的水平之下,目前仍呈下降趋势。补充量在渔业初期呈现大幅度波动,1978年后趋于稳定,并维持在3258.36-6583.35×106尾,平均为4687.66×106尾。未成熟鱼的数量总体较为稳定,但成熟鱼的数量出现剧减,从渔业初期的246.51×106尾减少到2005年的19.02×106尾。模型估计的总捕捞死亡系数从渔业初期开始逐渐上升,1991年后出现大幅度上升,处于0.334-0.456间,2003年时超过FMSY,捕捞产量也于2003年超过MSY。分析认为,2003年以来印度洋黄鳍金枪鱼的持续高产量被认为是不可持续,根据ASPM估算,2003-2006年均产量46.4万t,超过了MSY(36.4万t);S/SMSY为0.76;Fall/FMSY为1.39,由此判断现阶段印度洋黄鳍金枪鱼正处于过度捕捞状态。

    Abstract:

    An age structured production model (ASPM) was used in this study to assess the yellowfin tuna, Thunnus albacares, stock in the Indian Ocean. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate impacts of steepness parameter of the stock-recruit relationship and natural mortality rates of different age groups on the stock assessment. The dynamics of this stock was quantified. This study indicates that the value of steepness should be 0.6-0.8 for the stock supporting maximum sustainable yield (MSY). Outputs from ASPM were the closest to the current stock status if natural mortality recommended by the Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission were used. Total biomass and spawning biomass decreased with an increase in fishing effort. However, the total biomass tended to be stable and maintained at 1959-2632 thousands tons with an average of 2210 thousand tons. Spawning biomass decreased to a level below 1000 thousand tons after 1994, dropped to a level that was unable to support MSY after 1997, and continue to decrease at present. Recruitment varied dramatically in the beginning of fishery, varied between 3258.36-6583.35 million individuals with an average of 4687.66 million individuals. The abundance of immature individuals maintained stable, but the abundance of mature individuals decreased greatly from 246.51 millions at the beginning to 19.02 million. Total fishing mortality estimated by ASPM had increased from the beginning of the fishery, then increased to 0.334-0.456 after 1991, and exceeded FMSY in 2003. The catch also exceeded MSY in 2003. Current catch is too high to be sustainable. MSY was 364 thousand tons from 2003 to 2005 with S/SMSY equal to 0.76 and Fall/FMSY equal to 1.39. The average catch (464 thousand tons) exceeded MSY (364 thousand tons) level from 2003 to 2006. We conclude that overfishing occurs in the yellowfin tuna fishery in the Indian Ocean.

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冯波,陈新军*,西田勤.应用年龄结构产量模型评估印度洋黄鳍金枪鱼资源.生态学报,2010,30(13):3375~3384

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