害虫种群动态模型的燕尾突变分析
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(30470268)


Analysis of pest population dynamic model using swallowtail catastrophe theory
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    摘要:

    在农田生态系统中,以作物状况、气象因素及天敌分别为3种控制变量,以害虫种群数量动态为状态变量,建立了燕尾突变模型,并用燕尾突变模型的性质分析害虫种群数量动态中产生的突变现象。具体对燕尾突变的分歧点集所分各个控制区域的系统势函数形式和平衡点情况进行了分析,说明了害虫种群数量发生突变的条件和机理,为实际应用提供理论依据。同时利用燕尾突变的性质直观描述了害虫种群数量变化中的突跳和滞后等现象。

    Abstract:

    In this paper, we build a swallowtail catastrophe dynamic model of the pest population in a farmland ecosystem, taking into account influential factors such as crop, climate and natural enemies. From this, we derive a standard swallowtail catastrophe model and analyze the catastrophic phenomena caused by the dynamic pest population. In particular, we make a concrete analysis of the swallowtail catastrophe pattern, studying the equilibrium points and system potential functions of each control space generated by the bifurcation set of the swallowtail catastrophe, to explain the conditions and mechanisms of quantity catastrophe in the pest population. We also describe phenomena such as pest population size eruption and dynamic lag using swallowtail catastrophe theory. The results in this paper provide a theoretical basis for practical applications.

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魏雪莲,赵惠燕*,刘光祖,吴养会.害虫种群动态模型的燕尾突变分析.生态学报,2009,29(10):5478~5484

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