Combining with the land-use transition matrix, the adjacency matrix in Landscape Ecology was introduced into land-use change research and the tendency model of land-use types conversion was established. Taking the land-use change of Jinan City from 2000 to 2005, the model was applied to analyze the influence of spatial pattern on the land-use type conversion. The results show that the model was effectively to reflect the probability of transformation on the land-use types while they were space adjacent, and to explore the mechanism of the spatial pattern on the land-use type conversion and mining the driven force of the land-use change. Lastlly, the application scope of the model was defined.