水电开发的生态环境影响经济损益分析——以怒江中下游为例
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P339,Q14,T21,X143

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Economic cost-benefit analysis of environmental impact of hydropower development projects: A case study in the middle and lower reaches of the Nu River, China
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    摘要:

    水电工程的规模和特点决定了它对环境的影响特别重大,这种影响有正效益和负效益两个方面。水电开发的环境影响评价理论和方法在世界范围内都是一个在不断探索、发展和完善的科学问题。本文以怒江中下游水电开发规划为例,通过怒江水电开发规划环境影响因子的筛选和环境影响的定量分析,对开发方案的长期和整体的环境影响效益和成本进行估算,即估算项目实施后年环境成本和效益流量。评价结果表明,怒江中下游4级水电开发的直接环境效益为2.77×108元/a,环境成本总值约为3.96×108。评价结果中,直接环境效益和环境成本的比值为1∶1.4,环境影响的净现值为-1.19×108元/a;限于目前环境损益分析技术和方法还不太成熟,部分指标如怒江水电开发对文化多样性、陆生生物、水生生物等的影响,还无法找到有充分说服力的评价方法,从而使评价结果的完整性和准确性受到一定的影响。作为辅助决策依据,决策者应根据多方面的因素,综合考虑,以做出充分合理的判断和决策。 

    Abstract:

    The environmental impacts of hydropower projects are generally large due to project scale and characteristics. In fact, the impacts can be both positive and negative. At present, the theories and methods of environmental impact assessment are still worldwide problems. This paper analyzes the hydropower development of the middle and lower reaches of Nu River as a case study. Through the selection and quantitative analysis of the environmental impact, an economic cost-benefit analysis has been maken to describe long-term and holistic impact. As a result, the direct environmental benefit of four-step hydropower development in the middle and lower reaches of Nu River are 2.77×108 RMB per year, and the environmental cost is 3.96×108 Yuan RMB per year. The ratio of the direct environmental benefit and the environmental cost of this project is 1∶1.4, and the net benefit value is -1.19×108 Yuan RMB per year. It should be noticed that some impact factors in this study, such as culture diversity, terricolous plants and animals, are not exact measures. That is to say, the results should be used to assist decision-making and not taken wholescale.

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赵同谦,欧阳志云,郑华,王效科.水电开发的生态环境影响经济损益分析——以怒江中下游为例.生态学报,2006,26(9):2978~2988

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