Abstract:Cities are the main regions of fossil energy consumption and CO2 emissions. Analysis of characteristics of the CO2 emissions from fossil energy consumption in typical cities, and clarification of the dynamics and critical influencing factors of the CO2 emissions in different cities could provide important scientific basis for CO2 mitigation action in urban areas. With the IPCC recommended methods and China-specific emission parameters, the CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion were estimated in 11 typical cities from 2006 to 2015. Based on the emission characters and economic development, the 11 cities are categorized into four groups, namely, cities with highly developed economy (including Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou), cities with high carbon emission (including Chongqing, Urumqi and Tangshan), cities with low emission and low economic growth (including Harbin, Hohhot and Daqing), and the cities with low emission but high economic growth (including Guiyang and Hefei). Then the urban CO2 emissions were decomposed by Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method to compare the differences of influencing factors among the above four categories of cities. The results indicated that CO2 emissions from most cities increased during the study period, while the CO2 emissions of Beijing and Guangzhou showed a decreasing trend. The emissions from the industrial sector took the dominant position in both of the total emissions from the cities and their dynamics. The per capita CO2 emissions of different cities showed a similar variation pattern to that of the total CO2 emissions. Cities with highly developed economy had the lowest CO2 emissions intensity (avg. 0.088t CO2/k Yuan), and the values went gradually higher for cities with low emission and low economic growth (avg. 0.282t CO2/k Yuan), cities with low emission but high economic growth (avg. 0.305t CO2/k Yuan), and cities with high carbon emission (avg. 0.662t CO2/k Yuan). For all the 4 categories of cities, both economic development and population size enlargement could lead to CO2 emissions increment, but economic development made the major contribution while the effects of population size were relatively small. Meanwhile, the decrease of energy intensity effect acted as the main driving factor of CO2 emissions reduction, and this reduction effect is stronger in cities with highly developed economy or with high carbon emission than those in the rest two categories of cities. The effect of industrial structure promotion restrained CO2 emissions in 6 cities where the average annual growth rate of the tertiary industry GDP was higher than the secondary industry. The energy structure effect only inhibits the CO2 emissions of Beijing and Guangzhou (with the accumulative contribution at -21.73Mt and -0.03Mt, respectively), where coal's proportion in fossil energy consumption was low and going down fast. While in the cities with high carbon emission, the change of energy structure has the most obvious promoting effect on the CO2 emissions.