Abstract:Based on the defining the concept of coordinated development evaluation of the ecosystem health and tourism economy, this paper established an indicator system of coordinated development evaluation of the ecosystem health and the tourism economy of islands destination. By using an improved TOPSIS algorithm, this paper carried out a quantitative evaluation of Zhoushan Islands from 2000 to 2012 in terms of the coordinated development status of its ecosystem health and islands tourism economy. To be specific, an obstacle degree model was firstly used to analyze the obstacles of the coordinated development, and then a Logistic model was used to predict the status of the coordinated development from 2013 to 2015. The results showed that: 1). Between 2000 and 2012, the static and dynamic coordinated development coefficients of ecosystem health and the tourism economy of Zhoushan islands had been increasing consistently with the static coordinated coefficient rising from 0.6453 to 0.7301, and the dynamic coordinated coefficient rising from 0.6453 to 0.6874; 2) between 2000 and 2012, the coordinated development of the ecosystem health and the tourism economy of Zhoushan Islands had evolved from a primary coordinated stage to an intermediate coordinated stage. To be specific, the primary coordinated stage were found located between 2000 and 2007, and the intermediate coordinated stage were found located between 2008 and 2012; 3) The ocean economy/GDP ratio, the qualification rate of the offshore environmental function zone, the environmental protection cost/GDP ratio, the density of the road network, the urbanization rate are the major obstacles influencing the coordinated development of the ecosystem health and the tourism economy of Zhoushan islands; 4) It is forecasted that between 2013 and 2015, the predicted static coordinated coefficients of ecosystem health and the tourism economy of Zhoushan islands will be 0.8335, 0.8442 and 0.8543, and the dynamic coordinated coefficients will be 0.6885, 0.6916 and 0.6947, which means the coordinated development between both will keep improving consistently.