浙江省植被NDVI动态及其对气候的响应
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浙江省气候中心,浙江省气候中心,浙江省气候中心,浙江省气候中心,浙江省气候中心

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中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF2011-20);浙江省气象局创新团队项目(2010TD05)


Variation of vegetation NDVI and its response to climate change in Zhejiang Province
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Zhejiang Climate Center,,,,

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    摘要:

    利用GIMMS和MODIS两种归一化植被指数(NDVI)资料反演了1982-2010年浙江植被覆盖状况,结合同期研究区63个气象站点的气温、降水和湿润指数等气候指标,分析了该地区植被年际变化、月际变化及其对气候要素的响应特征。结果表明:(1)研究期间,浙江气候总体呈暖干化趋势,植被覆盖缓慢下降,主要是由于森林植被遭破坏,农业生产活动受抑制影响所致,其中NDVI显著减少的地区约占全省陆域面积的29.1%,主要发生在6-11月;(2)降水量及干湿程度对浙江植被NDVI年变化起着决定性作用。植被与气候要素年变化相关分析发现,NDVI与湿润指数关系较降水、气温更为密切,两者相关及偏相关系数均通过0.05水平的置信度检验,这表明在年际尺度上,湿度的增加增大了植被的生长势,有利于植被生长;(3)植被与气候要素月变化分析表明冬季的热量供给是影响浙江植被生长的重要因子,而植被变化对夏季降水和干湿程度的最大响应为滞后两个月;(4)农业生产水平的提高使得农作物种植区NDVI有所增加,人类活动对浙江植被覆盖的影响不可忽视。

    Abstract:

    Using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) which was derived from MODIS and GIMMS to characterize the vegetation cover in Zhejiang Province, this study has investigated the responses of vegetation cover variation to climate change at yearly and monthly time scales, by integrating NDVI with climate factors (temperature, precipitation and humid index) of sixty-three meteorological sites. The results indicated the following viewpoint. In the past 30 years, the climate of Zhejiang Province presented a process of distinct warming and drying. The vegetation cover had a slowly decreasing trend which mainly results from damaging forest and restraining agriculture activity. The area with NDVI significant decreasing occupied 29.1% of the total land area of Zhejiang. Vegetation cover reducing mainly happened in June to November. Precipitation and dry-wet condition had a crucial effect on NDVI inter-annual variation. The relationship of NDVI and humidity is stronger than that of NDVI with precipitation and temperature, whereas, its coefficient and partial coefficient all passed the confidence test of 0.05 levels. The close relativity between NDVI and humidity indicated that humid increasing could promote vegetation growing. At monthly scale, the response of vegetation variation to climatic factors suggested that temperature is a key factor for impacting vegetation growth in winter, and vegetation variation lag nearly two months responding to precipitation and dry-wet condition in summer. This study also highlighted that human activities influencing on vegetation cover variation should not be ignored because the NDVI value of the crop planting area was increasing with agricultural production level promoting in Zhejiang Province.

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何月,樊高峰,张小伟,柳苗,高大伟.浙江省植被NDVI动态及其对气候的响应.生态学报,2012,32(14):4352~4362

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